腐败会影响印尼的贫困吗?

Azwar Iskandar, Rahmaluddin Saragih
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引用次数: 3

摘要

腐败很可能加剧贫困,因为它减少了穷人的潜在收入。因此,消除腐败是减贫进程中的一个关键问题。本研究旨在调查和分析腐败与贫困之间的短期和长期关系。它使用来自世界银行和透明国际的二手数据,然后使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)和动态误差修正模型(ECM),重点关注1995-2017年期间使用人数贫困指数的能力贫困。研究结果表明,从长期来看,腐败对贫困率水平有显著的正向影响,其显著性水平为1%。这意味着,从长远来看,腐败与贫困之间存在联系。从长期来看,腐败效应系数表明,腐败增加1%将使贫困率增加1.36%。腐败对公民生活的负面影响是经济上的一场重大灾难,尤其对公民的成长和发展有害,对整个经济也有害。简单皮尔森相关研究结果还表明,腐败通过影响经济增长和政府支出,具有显著的分配后果。严重和日益严重的腐败现象降低了增长和社会支出(教育和卫生)的水平和效力,从而加剧了贫困。为了有效地、可持续地和管理这场灾难,政府应开始实施将大大减少腐败程度的政策,以便在优质和有效的教育、对自然资源的健全管理、提供良好的卫生设施和其他基础设施方面对公民的生活水平产生积极影响,从而促进经济增长。
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Does Corruption Affect Poverty in Indonesia?
Corruption is likely to increase poverty because it reduces the potential income earning of the poor. Therefore, eradicating corruption is a crucial issue in the poverty reduction process. This study is set out to investigate and analyze the short and long-run relationship between corruption and poverty. It uses secondary data from World Bank and Transparency International then  Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and dynamic Error Correction Model (ECM), focuses on capability poverty using headcount poverty index during year 1995-2017. The results of study indicated that corruption have positive significant effect on the level of poverty ratio in 1% significance level In the long run. This implies that in the long run, there is relationship between corruption and poverty. In the long run, the coefficient of corruption effect implies that 1% increase in corruption would increase the poverty ratio by 1.36%. The negative implication of corruption on the life of the citizens is a major disaster in the economy and harmful to the growth and development of the citizens in particular and the economy in general. The simple pearson correlation findings also show that corruption has significant distributional consequences by affecting growth and government expenditures. High and rising corruption increases poverty by reducing the level and effectiveness of groth and social spending (education and health).  For effective sustainable and management of this disaster, government should embark on policies that will reduce the level of corruption significantly so as to have positive influence on the standard of living of the citizens in terms of quality and efficient education, sound management of our natural resources, provision of good health facilities and other infrastructures that will transcend to the growth of the economy.
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