多场景技术在配电网可靠性评估中的应用

Chen Shaonan, Chen Biyun, Gong Shu, Ye Lei, Bi Wanxia, W. Hua
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对于风电配电网的可靠性评估,目前应用的各种仿真方法都存在精度与计算时间的矛盾。提出了一种基于沃瑟斯坦距离多场景的配电网可靠性评估方法。首先,根据风速和风力机功率曲线的概率分布确定风电场景的最优五分位数及其概率;其次,采用馈线划分算法计算不同场景下配电网的可靠性指标。最后,利用全概率公式计算了风电配电网的可靠性指标。与蒙特卡罗仿真方法的结果比较表明,该方法简单有效,具有较高的精度,适用于含风电配电网的可靠性评估。
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Multi-scene technology applied in distribution network reliability assessment
For the reliability evaluation of distribution network with wind power, the current application of different simulation methods have a common contradiction between accuracy and computational time. In this paper, a method for the reliability evaluation of distribution network based on Wasserstein distance multi-scene is presented. First, optimal quintile and its probability of wind power scenes are determined by probability distribution of wind speed and wind turbine power curve. Second, the feeder partition algorithm is applied to calculate the reliability indices of distribution network under different scenes. Finally, the total probability formula is used to calculate the reliability indices of distribution network with wind power. A comparison with the results of Monte Carlo simulation method shows that the proposed method is simple and efficient, having high accuracy and suitable for evaluating reliability of distribution network that encompasses wind power.
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