外生经济增长新古典模型中长期均衡区域的轨迹确定方法

A. Krawiec, A. Stachowski, M. Szydłowski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们以动力系统的形式考虑经济增长模型。我们展示了一种在外生经济增长的新古典模型中确定长期均衡附近的轨迹的方法。这种方法主要适用于那些通常没有解析解的模型。给出了用幂级数形式求任意维动力系统解的一般方法。我们在初始状态的邻域中展开泰勒级数中的状态函数。膨胀系数表示系统状态变化的参数,并在Mathematica中进行了代数计算。给出了索洛-斯旺模型和曼昆-罗默-韦尔模型的求解方法。我们还使用了pad近似方法来获得较好的幂级数收敛性。这种方法允许在两个外生经济增长模型的长期均衡的邻域中,以一系列轨迹的形式得到一个解。我们证明所得到的解是时间路径的一个很好的近似,沿着时间路径可以达到长期平衡。我们展示了一种估计模型参数的可能性,其中级数形式的解是已知的。
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Method of Determining Trajectories in a Neighbourhood of Long-Run Equilibrium in Neoclassical Models of Exogenous Economic Growth
We consider economic growth models in the form of dynamical systems. We show a method of determining trajectories in a neighbourhood of a long-run equilibrium in some neoclassical models of exogenous economic growth. This method is applied primarily to these models which in general have no analytical solution. We propose the general method of finding solutions of arbitrarily dimensional dynamical system in the form of power series. We expand the state function in Taylor's series in the neighbourhood of the initial state. The coefficients of expansion represent the parameters of the variation of the state of the system and are calculated algebraically in Mathematica. We present the method of finding solutions for the Solow-Swan model and the Mankiw-Romer-Weil model. We use also the Padé aproximant method to obtain a better convergence of the power series. This method allows to obtain a solution in the form of a series for trajectories in a neighbourhood of a long-run equilibrium in two models of exogenous economic growth. We show that obtained solutions are a good approximation of time paths, along which the long-run equilibrium is reached. We show a possibility of estimation of model parameters for which solutions in the form of series are known.
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