应急规划的决策支持工具

Haibo Wang, B. Alidaee, Jiefang Li, Hongman Gao
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摘要

我们提出了一个框架,为应急管理规划开发决策支持工具。该框架涉及开发创新的动态风险和不确定性分析方法,即质量功能部署。本文采用基于规则的专家系统来处理应急计划准则之间的相互依赖关系,而不是简单地计算应急计划准则的权重。将具有组合规则的专家系统编码为布尔可满足性问题,用二次型无约束二元优化方法求解。我们还讨论了通过集成GIS和其他信息支持系统来使用可视化工具的方法。在这方面,这一拟议的办法完全改变了目前应急管理规划的做法。
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A decision support tool for emergency planning
We propose a framework on developing a decision support tool for emergency management planning. This framework involves development of innovative dynamic risk and uncertainty analysis methods known as quality function deployment. Instead of simply computing the weight of emergency planning criteria, we used rule-based expert system to handle the interdependency among the criteria. The expert system with composite rules is encoded into a Boolean satisfiability problem, which can be solved by a quadratic unconstrained binary optimisation method. We also discuss the approach based on the use of the visualisation tools by integrating with GIS and other information support systems. In this respect, this proposed approach completely changes the current practice of emergency management planning.
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