NH-19/44道路交通事故数据分析与预测

Naveen Kumar Vrandani, Deepak Mathur
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引用次数: 5

摘要

高速公路和城市地区日益严重的交通拥堵以及道路网络交通事故的增加,是许多发展中国家日益增长的城市化和车辆数量增加的结果。这些道路网络从来没有打算处理它们现在所需要的交通量和交通类型。无计划的城市增长也导致了车辆和行人之间的各种冲突,以及不相容的土地使用者。由于从农村到城市的人口迁移,许多新的城市居民不习惯如此高的交通水平。因此,驾驶条件经常出现相当大的恶化,各种道路使用者之间的风险和竞争也增加了。此外,糟糕的道路维护、设计不佳的路口以及为行人提供的设施不足,往往使固有的危险更加严重。最近道路上的交通量一直在增加,这增加了发生交通事故的可能性。根据来自工业化国家和发展中国家的证据,道路交通事故是全球第五大死亡原因,而且还在上升。它们造成了人口中相当大一部分的伤害、死亡和残疾。马图拉和阿格拉之间的NH 19/44路线被选为研究区域。研究跨度共36公里。除了运输公司拥有的车辆外,在马图拉和阿格拉之间行驶的大多数重型车辆是运输工业物品的卡车、集装箱和用于运输建筑材料的车辆。每隔一段时间就有钢铁厂、纺织厂、铸造厂、学校、学院、银行、煤气铺等。在考虑的路段上,有九个警察局。有关道路清单的信息是直接从研究区域收集的。这条全长67公里的路线根据警察署的数量和管辖范围分为3个区段,区段长度各不相同。警察局分散在这些地区,间隔10至12公里。
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Analysis & Prediction of Road Accident Data for NH-19/44
Increased traffic congestion in highways and urban areas with an increase in traffic accidents on road networks—which were never intended to handle the volumes and types of traffic they are now required to carry—are results of growing urbanisation and the rise in the number of vehicles in many developing countries. Unplanned urban growth has also resulted in a wide range of confrontations between vehicles and pedestrians, as well as incompatible land users. Many new urban residents are unaccustomed to such high traffic levels as a result of the migration from rural to urban areas. As a result, there has frequently been a considerable deterioration in driving conditions, as well as an increase in risks and rivalry between various groups of road users. Additionally, poor road upkeep, poorly designed junctions, and insufficient provisions for pedestrians frequently make the inherent dangers worse. The quantity of traffic on the roadways has been increasing recently, which has raised the likelihood of traffic accidents. Road traffic accidents are the fifth most major cause of mortality worldwide, according to evidence from both industrialised and developing nations, and they are on the rise. They are responsible for a sizable part of injuries, fatalities, and disabilities among the population. The route of NH 19/44 between Mathura and Agra has been chosen as the study area. The study span is 36 kilometres long in total. Aside from vehicles owned by the Transport Corporation, the majority of heavy vehicles that travel between Mathura and Agra are trucks transporting industrial items, containers, and vehicles used to transport construction materials. There are steel plants, textile mills, foundries, schools, colleges, banks, gas bunks, etc. on both sides of the stretch at regular intervals. Along the stretch under consideration, there were nine police stations. Information about the road inventory was gathered directly from the study stretch. The entire 67 km route was divided into three sections with various segment lengths based on the number of police stations and jurisdiction. Police stations are scattered throughout these parts, spaced 10 to 12 kilometres apart.
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