时间序列早期分类的深度强化学习方法

Coralie Martinez, G. Perrin, E. Ramasso, M. Rombaut
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引用次数: 32

摘要

在许多现实世界的应用中,从预测性维护到个性化医疗,时间序列数据的早期分类对于支持决策者至关重要。在本文中,我们采用一种基于强化学习的新方法来解决这一具有挑战性的任务。我们引入了一个早期分类器智能体,一个端到端强化学习智能体(deep Q-network, DQN)[1],能够高效地进行早期分类。我们在强化学习框架中制定了早期分类问题:我们引入了一组合适的状态和动作,但我们也定义了一个特定的奖励函数,旨在找到早期性和分类准确性之间的折衷。虽然大多数现有的解决方案在最终决策中没有明确地考虑时间,但这个解决方案允许用户以更灵活的方式设置这种权衡。特别是,我们在UCR时间序列档案[2]的数据集上通过实验表明,该代理能够在没有人为干预的情况下不断适应其行为,并逐步学会在准确和快速预测之间妥协。
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A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach for Early Classification of Time Series
In many real-world applications, ranging from predictive maintenance to personalized medicine, early classification of time series data is of paramount importance for supporting decision makers. In this article, we address this challenging task with a novel approach based on reinforcement learning. We introduce an early classifier agent, an end-to-end reinforcement learning agent (deep Q-network, DQN) [1] able to perform early classification in an efficient way. We formulate the early classification problem in a reinforcement learning framework: we introduce a suitable set of states and actions but we also define a specific reward function which aims at finding a compromise between earliness and classification accuracy. While most of the existing solutions do not explicitly take time into account in the final decision, this solution allows the user to set this trade-off in a more flexible way. In particular, we show experimentally on datasets from the UCR time series archive [2] that this agent is able to continually adapt its behavior without human intervention and progressively learn to compromise between accurate and fast predictions.
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