基于灰色关联分析的中国服务贸易国际竞争力影响因素研究

Xianhang Xu, Hong Liu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文以2009-2018年的数据为基础,利用常用的贸易绩效评价指标对中国服务贸易的国际竞争力进行测度,结合产业特征和改进的“钻石模型”构建了服务贸易国际竞争力影响因素评价指标体系,并运用灰色关联分析法对不同影响因素的关联度进行测度。结果表明:中国服务贸易竞争力呈稳步上升趋势,但进出口结构不合理,逆差呈逐年扩大趋势;货物出口量、实际利用外资和全球创新指数对中国服务贸易的国际竞争力有显著影响。建议从减少贸易壁垒、拓展国际市场、优化产业结构等方面提高中国服务贸易的国际竞争力。
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Research on the Influencing Factors of the International Competitiveness of China’s Service Trade Based on Grey Correlation Analysis
Based on the data onto 2009-2018, this paper measures the international competitiveness of China’s service trade with the help of common trade performance evaluation indexes, constructs the evaluation index system of influencing factors of international competitiveness of service trade with the combination of industrial characteristics and improved "Diamond Model", and then uses the grey correlation analysis method to measure the correlation degree of different influencing factors. The results show that the competitiveness of China’s service trade shows a steady upward trend, but the import-export structure is unreasonable and the deficit is increasing year by year; the export volume of goods, the actual use of foreign capital and the global innovation index have a significant impact on the international competitiveness of China’s service trade. It is suggested to improving the international competitiveness of China’s service trade with the aspects of reducing trade barriers, expanding international market and optimizing industrial structure.
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