横截面检验因素模型

Fabian Hollstein, Marcel Prokopczuk
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们用Fama和MacBeth(1973)的经典样本外横断面检验来面对著名的资产定价模型。对于所有模型,我们发现了三个主要发现:(i)截距系数在经济上很大,并且具有高度统计显著性;(ii)横断面因素风险溢价估计远低于平均因素超额收益;(iii)它们通常不具有统计显著性。因此,我们的研究结果表明,这些模型不仅不符合时间序列检验的均衡条件,而且也不符合较弱的无套利条件。总的来说,所有新的因子模型都不能准确地解释股票收益的横截面。
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Testing Factor Models in the Cross-Section
We confront prominent asset pricing models with the classical out-of-sample cross-sectional test of Fama and MacBeth (1973). For all models, we uncover three main findings: (i) the intercept coefficients are economically large and highly statistically significant; (ii) the cross-sectional factor risk premium estimates are far below the average factor excess returns; and (iii) they are generally not statistically significant. Thus, our findings show that the models do not only fail the equilibrium condition of the time-series test, but are also inconsistent with the weaker no-arbitrage condition. Overall, all new factor models cannot accurately explain the cross-section of stock returns.
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