西非国家的政治稳定:问题和解决办法。(Côte科特迪瓦和塞内加尔案例研究)

L. Sadovskaya
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摘要

这篇文章对西非国家的政治稳定问题提出了新的看法。第一次对西非两个增长最快的法语国家Côte科特迪瓦和塞内加尔的政治制度的可持续性进行了比较分析。作者分析了对这些国家的政治稳定、社会秩序产生负面影响的因素,以及那些减少潜在冲突的因素。审查了对塞内加尔和Сôte科特迪瓦政治制度的内部和外部威胁。展示了两国对内部和外部挑战的反应。该研究证明,虽然外部威胁危及塞内加尔的政治稳定,如宗教极端主义的渗透,卡萨芒斯危机,海盗,毒品贩运,对于Côte科特迪瓦,相反,主要风险是内部的:选举,社会政治危机,精英分裂,武器走私,土匪。研究表明,塞内加尔的社会治理水平高于其他西非国家,包括Сôte科特迪瓦,这是由于政治制度的二元论:西方式政治制度与当地信仰(tariqas)并存,以及总统M. Sall所奉行的政策。旨在实现确保和平解决冲突和矛盾的相互妥协。作者得出结论,需要一种开发安全策略的新方法。
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Political Stability in West African States: Problems and Solutions. (Case Studies of Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal)
The article presents a new view on the problems of political stability in West African countries. For the first time was carried out a comparative analysis of the sustainability of the political systems of the two Francophone fastest growing countries in West Africa, Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal. The author analyzes the factors negatively influencing political stability social order, and those that reduce conflict potencial in these States. Internal and external threats to the political systems of Senegal and Сôte d’Ivoire are examined. The response of both countries to internal and external challenges is shown. The study proves that while external threats indanger Senegal’s political stability, such as the penetration of religious extremism, the crisis in Casamance, maritime piracy, drug traffic, for Côte d’Ivoire, on the contrary, main risks are internal: electoral, socio-political crises, the split of elites, arms smuggling, banditry. The study demonstrates that the level of social governance in Senegal is higher than in other West African countries, including Сôte d’Ivoire, due to the dualism of the political system: the coexistence of Western-style political institutions with local faiths (tariqas), as well as policy pursued by President M. Sall. aimed at achieving mutual compromise that ensure the peaceful settlement of conflicts and contradictions. The author concludes that a new approach to the development of a security strategy is required.
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