秘鲁的光辉道路:冲突的组织理论

Edwar E. Escalante
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摘要

暴力政治叛乱显示出有弹性的结构,使他们能够成长和成功。他们必须提供激励措施,以避免成员之间的内部寻租,同时阻止联盟破坏叛乱的方向和控制。我研究叛乱分子对这些权衡的反应如何决定了他们的政治和军事结构。将采用垂直和集中的层次结构,以尽量减少监测成本。然而,在叛乱中会出现一个水平等级,以让渡部分叛乱剩余来解决他们的集体行动问题并有效地协调暴力。证据来自对光辉道路的分析,光辉道路是西半球共产主义革命最激进的面孔,也是最近叛乱的先驱组织。我认为,这种内部等级制度的变化在其从一小群学生迅速成长为具有国际影响力的致命恐怖组织的过程中发挥了重要作用。
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The Shining Path of Peru: An Organizational Theory for Conflict
Violent political insurgencies display resilient structures that allow their growth and success. They must provide incentives to avoid internal rent-seeking among the members and, at the same time, discourage coalitions from undermining the direction and control of the insurgency. I study how insurgencies’ response to these trade-offs determines their political and military structures. A vertical and centralized hierarchy will prevail to minimize monitoring costs. However, a horizontal hierarchy will emerge within the insurgency to cede part of the insurgency surplus to solve their collective action problems and effectively coordinate violence. The evidence rests on the analysis of the Shining Path, the most radical face of the Communist revolution in the Western Hemisphere and a pioneer organization for the most recent insurgencies. I argue that the variation of this internal hierarchy played a significant role in its dramatic growth from a small group of students to a lethal terrorist organization with international outreach.
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