Covid-19大流行对航空业未来的影响

Ing. Jiří Hořínka, Ing. Lenka Kontriková
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近几个月,我们经历了一场全新的航空危机。嗯,不仅仅是在航空领域,在本文中,我们想展示Covid-19危机对商业航空的影响。对航班数量和载客量的影响,航空公司机队的转变,对商业航空公司模式的可能变化以及可能的整合加速。也有可能期望外部外包公司的行为发生变化。产品的定义和定价肯定会发生变化。运营数量的减少肯定会改变一些员工。没有哪个工业部门受到的影响比航空业更大。但是明天永远不会消失,所以我们怎么能期待未来呢?在大流行开始时,发表了几篇关于covid-19大流行对航空影响的文章。最复杂的是Pere Suau-Sanchez[6]的论文,通过采访几位航空负责人来预测形势将如何发展。从今天的观点来看,他们的结论过于乐观了。情况更糟。
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Covid-19 Pandemic Impact on the Aviation Future
In recent months, we have been experiencing a whole new kind of crisis in aviation. Well, not only in aviation, but in this paper we want to show the impact of Covid-19 crisis on the commercial aviation. The impact on the number of flights and passengers carried, airline fleet transformations, possible changes on the commercial airline models and possible consolidation acceleration. There is also possible to expect changes on external outsource companies behavior. Product definition and its pricing will change for sure. And total drop in number of operation will for sure change a number of the employees. There is not another branch of industry more affected then the aviation. But tomorrow never dies, so how is the future we can expect. At the beginning of the pandemic, there are a few articles published about impact of covid-19 pandemic to aviation. The most complex was the paper of Pere Suau-Sanchez [6] using interview with couple of aviation heads to predict how the situation will develop. From today’s view their conclusion is too optimistic. Situation is much worse.
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