{"title":"基于深度学习算法的股票价格预测及其与机器学习算法的比较","authors":"Mahla Nikou, Gholamreza Mansourfar, Jamshid Bagherzadeh","doi":"10.1002/isaf.1459","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n <p>Security indices are the main tools for evaluation of the status of financial markets. Moreover, a main part of the economy of any country is constituted of investment in stock markets. Therefore, investors could maximize the return of investment if it becomes possible to predict the future trend of stock market with appropriate methods. The nonlinearity and nonstationarity of financial series make their prediction complicated. This study seeks to evaluate the prediction power of machine-learning models in a stock market. The data used in this study include the daily close price data of iShares MSCI United Kingdom exchange-traded fund from January 2015 to June 2018. The prediction process is done through four models of machine-learning algorithms. The results indicate that the deep learning method is better in prediction than the other methods, and the support vector regression method is in the next rank with respect to neural network and random forest methods with less error.</p>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":53473,"journal":{"name":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","volume":"26 4","pages":"164-174"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-12-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/isaf.1459","citationCount":"105","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Stock price prediction using DEEP learning algorithm and its comparison with machine learning algorithms\",\"authors\":\"Mahla Nikou, Gholamreza Mansourfar, Jamshid Bagherzadeh\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/isaf.1459\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div>\\n \\n <p>Security indices are the main tools for evaluation of the status of financial markets. Moreover, a main part of the economy of any country is constituted of investment in stock markets. Therefore, investors could maximize the return of investment if it becomes possible to predict the future trend of stock market with appropriate methods. The nonlinearity and nonstationarity of financial series make their prediction complicated. This study seeks to evaluate the prediction power of machine-learning models in a stock market. The data used in this study include the daily close price data of iShares MSCI United Kingdom exchange-traded fund from January 2015 to June 2018. The prediction process is done through four models of machine-learning algorithms. The results indicate that the deep learning method is better in prediction than the other methods, and the support vector regression method is in the next rank with respect to neural network and random forest methods with less error.</p>\\n </div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":53473,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management\",\"volume\":\"26 4\",\"pages\":\"164-174\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-12-03\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/isaf.1459\",\"citationCount\":\"105\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/isaf.1459\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Economics, Econometrics and Finance\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/isaf.1459","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","Score":null,"Total":0}
Stock price prediction using DEEP learning algorithm and its comparison with machine learning algorithms
Security indices are the main tools for evaluation of the status of financial markets. Moreover, a main part of the economy of any country is constituted of investment in stock markets. Therefore, investors could maximize the return of investment if it becomes possible to predict the future trend of stock market with appropriate methods. The nonlinearity and nonstationarity of financial series make their prediction complicated. This study seeks to evaluate the prediction power of machine-learning models in a stock market. The data used in this study include the daily close price data of iShares MSCI United Kingdom exchange-traded fund from January 2015 to June 2018. The prediction process is done through four models of machine-learning algorithms. The results indicate that the deep learning method is better in prediction than the other methods, and the support vector regression method is in the next rank with respect to neural network and random forest methods with less error.
期刊介绍:
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management is a quarterly international journal which publishes original, high quality material dealing with all aspects of intelligent systems as they relate to the fields of accounting, economics, finance, marketing and management. In addition, the journal also is concerned with related emerging technologies, including big data, business intelligence, social media and other technologies. It encourages the development of novel technologies, and the embedding of new and existing technologies into applications of real, practical value. Therefore, implementation issues are of as much concern as development issues. The journal is designed to appeal to academics in the intelligent systems, emerging technologies and business fields, as well as to advanced practitioners who wish to improve the effectiveness, efficiency, or economy of their working practices. A special feature of the journal is the use of two groups of reviewers, those who specialize in intelligent systems work, and also those who specialize in applications areas. Reviewers are asked to address issues of originality and actual or potential impact on research, teaching, or practice in the accounting, finance, or management fields. Authors working on conceptual developments or on laboratory-based explorations of data sets therefore need to address the issue of potential impact at some level in submissions to the journal.