有限理性下的最优货币政策

Jonathan Benchimol, Lahcen Bounader
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引用次数: 11

摘要

代表主体的有限理性特征是最优货币政策制度选择的关键。通货膨胀目标制在近视情况下普遍存在,扭曲了代理人的通货膨胀预期,而价格水平目标制在产出缺口、收入或利率的近视情况下成为最优政策。从某种程度上说,在价格水平目标制下,过去的事情并没有成为过去,理性的通胀预期是行为世界中实现最优的最低条件。工具规则执行这一最优政策被证明是不可行的,质疑简单规则(la Taylor, 1993)协助货币政策实施的能力。有限理性并不一定与福利损失有关。
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Optimal Monetary Policy Under Bounded Rationality
The form of bounded rationality characterizing the representative agent is key in the choice of the optimal monetary policy regime. While inflation targeting prevails for myopia that distorts agents' inflation expectations, price level targeting emerges as the optimal policy under myopia regarding the output gap, revenue, or interest rate. To the extent that bygones are not bygones under price level targeting, rational inflation expectations is a minimal condition for optimality in a behavioral world. Instrument rules implementation of this optimal policy is shown to be infeasible, questioning the ability of simple rules à la Taylor (1993) to assist the conduct of monetary policy. Bounded rationality is not necessarily associated with welfare losses.
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