基于混合深度学习模型和拖尾移动平均去噪技术的多步风速预测

Zouaidia Khouloud, Rais Med Saber
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引用次数: 2

摘要

由于气候变化和滥用传统能源造成的环境破坏,当今世界迫切需要一种替代能源。本文主要研究风力发电的风速预测问题。基于拖尾移动平均预处理方法(TMA)和编码器-解码器-卷积神经网络-长短期记忆(CNN-LSTM-ED)预测模型,建立了混合风速模型。采用TMA技术对风速数据进行平滑处理,然后采用CNN-LSTM-ED混合深度学习网络进行风速预报。实验结果表明,所提出的混合模型分别优于LSTM、CNN、CNN-LSTM、LSTM- ed和CNN-LSTM- ed模型,提供了最好的性能和更准确的风速预报。
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Multi-Step Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Hybrid Deep Learning Model and Trailing Moving Average Denoising Technique
Nowadays the world is in desperate need for an alternative energy, due to the climate changes and the environmental damages caused by the abused use of traditional energy resources. In this paper we focused on the wind speed prediction for the wind energy generation purpose. A hybrid wind speed model was developed based on the Trailing Moving Average pre-processing method (TMA) and the Encoder-Decoder-Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short Term Memory (CNN-LSTM-ED) prediction model. The TMA technique was used for smoothing the wind speed data followed by the CNN-LSTM-ED hybrid deep learning network for the wind speed forecasting. The experimental results proved that the proposed hybrid model outperformed the benchmarks models being the LSTM, CNN, CNN-LSTM, LSTM-ED and CNN-LSTM-ED models respectively and provided the best performance and the more accurate wind speed forecast.
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