投资者预期与未来市场走势:来自中国股市自我实现预言效应的证据

Yun Wan, Xiaoguang Yang
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摘要

我们分析了从金融科技移动平台收集的中国股市散户投资者的数据,以寻找自我实现预言效应的证据。我们发现上证综合指数预测值与实际值之间存在显著的统计学相关性,且存在非随机偏差。我们还分析了参与投资者的行为,并讨论了影响和未来的研究。
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Investor's Anticipation and Future Market Movement: Evidence of Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Effect from the the Chinese Stock Market
We analyzed data collected from retail investors in the Chinese stock market from a Fintech mobile platform to find evidence of the self-fulfilling prophecy effect. We found a statistically significant correlation between the predicted and actual Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI) as well as non-random deviation patterns. We also analyzed participating investor behaviors and discussed the implications and future research.
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Investor's Anticipation and Future Market Movement: Evidence of Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Effect from the the Chinese Stock Market
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