We analyzed data collected from retail investors in the Chinese stock market from a Fintech mobile platform to find evidence of the self-fulfilling prophecy effect. We found a statistically significant correlation between the predicted and actual Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI) as well as non-random deviation patterns. We also analyzed participating investor behaviors and discussed the implications and future research.
{"title":"Investor's Anticipation and Future Market Movement: Evidence of Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Effect from the the Chinese Stock Market","authors":"Yun Wan, Xiaoguang Yang","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3507493","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3507493","url":null,"abstract":"We analyzed data collected from retail investors in the Chinese stock market from a Fintech mobile platform to find evidence of the self-fulfilling prophecy effect. We found a statistically significant correlation between the predicted and actual Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI) as well as non-random deviation patterns. We also analyzed participating investor behaviors and discussed the implications and future research.","PeriodicalId":306271,"journal":{"name":"KeAi: The Journal of Finance & Data Science","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123143631","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}