贸易投资政策与东亚区域经济一体化

S. Chia
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引用次数: 32

摘要

全球经济危机通过贸易和投资对东亚经济产生了影响。曾经造就了 œEast亚洲奇迹 (Asian miracle)的出口导向型模式,现在必须将增长的基础从对美欧的出口转向地区和国内需求。区域贸易一体化是通过生产网络和外国直接投资由市场主导的。由于双边和诸边自由贸易协定和经济伙伴关系协定的扩散并没有导致一个一体化的区域市场,因此东亚必须寻求一项区域性自由贸易协定/经济伙伴关系协定的安排。目前,有“东盟+3”、“东盟+6”、“泛亚”、“亚太”等倡议。虽然支持建立区域性自由贸易协定/环境保护协定的人强调其好处,但怀疑论者和批评者指出,在一个政治、经济和社会制度差异很大的地区,达成共识是困难的。最终,它将取决于基于对区域自由贸易协定中自由化、便利化和合作的成本效益分析的政治经济决策。[亚行工作文件第210号]
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Trade and Investment Policies and Regional Economic Integration in East Asia
The global economic crisis has affected the East Asian economies via trade and investment. The export-led model which had been responsible for the “East Asian Miracle†now must redirect the basis of growth from exports sent to the US and Europe to regional and domestic demand. Regional trade integration has been market-led through production networks and foreign direct investment (FDI). Since the proliferation of bilateral and plurilateral free trade agreements (FTA) and economic partnership agreements (EPA) has not resulted in an integrated regional market, it is important that East Asia seek an arrangement for a region-wide FTA/EPA. Currently, there are proposals for an ASEAN+3, an ASEAN+6, Pan-Asia, and Asia Pacific initiatives. While proponents of a region-wide FTA/EPA highlight its benefits, skeptics and critics point to the difficulties of reaching consensus in a region with widely varying political, economic, and social systems. Ultimately it will depend on a political-economic decision based on a cost-benefit analysis of liberalization, facilitation, and cooperation in a region-wide FTA. [ADBI Working Paper No. 210]
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