基于模糊实物期权的分房改造项目价值评估

Y. Jin, Jung-Suk Yu
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引用次数: 2

摘要

政府计划在全国范围内选定68个被淘汰的城市再生事业,并在去年12月发表的“城市再生新政政策路线图”中显示了“play Deal创新中心”。城市再生交易创新中心选择推动试点项目,继续引领业务。在本研究中,以小规模房屋维修业务取代大规模维修业务是振兴房屋维修业务的必要条件。因此,本项目的目的是对商业振兴的定性风险因素进行分析,并在可行性评估中反映出来,最终做出项目推广的决定,使分块房屋整理项目成为城市更新创新更新基地的基础。此外,我还提出了通过建立改进这些风险因素管理的方法所产生的政策影响。虽然此次研究的事业在初期是不可行的,但事业单位(协会、共同执行者等)在事业完成后的5年内,最理想的情况下可以实现约10.23亿韩元的事业价值。因此,项目开发人员(协会、共同实现者等)应该对项目做出谨慎的决策。综上所述,从房地产专家的调查数据来看,考虑到分房整理项目的风险因素,认为本研究是可行的。
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The Valuation of Block-unit Housing Rearrangement Project Using Fuzzy Real Options
The government was expected to select a total of 68 urban areas across the country that were declined in the urban regeneration projects, and the New Deal that was announced in December 2017 urban renewal New Deal policy roadmap showed the Playing Deal innovation hub. The urban regeneration Deal innovation hub has chosen to promote pilot projects in continuing to lead the business. In this study, it is essential to replace the large-scale maintenance business with a small-scale housing maintenance business in order to revitalize it. Therefore, the purpose of the project is to analyze the qualitative risk factors for the revitalization of the business and to make a final decision about the project promotion by reflecting it in the feasibility evaluation, so that the Block-unit Housing Rearrangement Project can act as a foundation of the innovation renewal base of urban regeneration. In addition, I have suggested the policy implications by establishing methods for improving the management of these risk factors. Although the project of this study is not feasible at the beginning, the business entity (association, co-implementer, etc) can expect a business value of approximately 1,023 million won in the best case five years after the completion of the project. Therefore, the project developer (association, co-implementer, etc) should make careful decisions about the project. In conclusion, this study can be considered to be feasible by taking into account the risk factors of the Block-unit Housing Rearrangement project from the survey data of real estate experts.
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