撒哈拉以南非洲地区外国直接投资与增长的联系:治理是中介因素吗?

Fisayo Fagbemi, K. Bello
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在撒哈拉以南非洲,薄弱的制度和对改善商业环境的日益关注为提高制度框架的有效性、资本流入和公共投资效率提供了相当大的杠杆作用。这些都使SSA最近成为全球关注的焦点。因此,本研究利用面板数据技术(汇集OLS、固定效应和面板校正标准误差(PCSE)估计)以及动态一步差分和系统GMM,考察了2002年至2017年间35个SSA国家治理对FDI -增长联系的中介作用。结果表明,腐败控制、政治稳定和监管质量(包括治理综合指数)对经济增长具有显著的正向影响,表明制度对SSA经济体具有有益影响。研究结果进一步表明,由于吸收能力不足,外国直接投资流入对增长产生不利影响,而吸收能力不足可以提高该区域的外国直接投资效率。更重要的是,南亚地区普遍存在的治理不善被认为是破坏外国直接投资与经济增长之间关系发展的一个关键案例。因此,该研究表明,通过促进一个强有力的制度环境,为实现实际的外国直接投资溢出潜力提供一个良好的机制,从而加强外国直接投资与增长的联系,通过一个政策框架,指出在南南合作中采取成本效益措施的道路。此外,非洲各国应制定核心投资政策,促使私营部门整合政府的努力和资源,使该区域的经济多样化,摆脱长期依赖商品的局面,从而提高国际竞争力。
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Foreign Direct Investment - Growth Linkage in Sub-Saharan Africa: Is Governance a Mediating Factor?
In sub – Saharan Africa, weak institutions and the rising concern for improved business environment offer considerable leverage for enhancing the effectiveness of institutional framework, capital inflows, and public investment efficiency. These have put SSA in the global spotlight in recent times. Hence, the study examines the mediating effect of governance on FDI – growth nexus in 35 SSA countries between 2002 and 2017 using panel data techniques (Pooled OLS, Fixed Effects, and Panel-Corrected Standard Error’ (PCSE) estimation) and the Dynamic One – Step Difference and System GMM. Results indicate that control of corruption, political stability and regulatory quality, including governance composite index, have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, suggesting that institutions have a salutary impact on SSA economies. The findings further show that FDI inflows adversely influence growth owing to insufficient absorptive capacity that could enhance FDI effectiveness in the region. More importantly, the pervasiveness of poor governance in SSA is identified as a critical case that undermines the development of the nexus between FDI and economic growth. Thus, the study suggests that FDI – growth linkage would be enhanced by promoting a strong institutional environment that offers a good mechanism for attaining the actual FDI spillover potential through a policy framework that points the path towards cost-effective measures in SSA. Also, there should be core investment policies across African countries that would induce the private sector in consolidating government efforts and resources aimed at improving international competitiveness by diversifying the region’s economies away from a protracted commodity – based.
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