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Determinants of financial performance of pension funds in Tanzania: The case of national social security fund 坦桑尼亚养老基金财务绩效的决定因素:国家社会保障基金案例
Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.18488/62.v11i2.3689
Nafisa Hamis Twalib, Moga Tano Jilenga
This study was set to examine the determinants of financial performance of pension funds in Tanzania. According to literature millions of the people under the globe depend on the pension funds as their principal sources of income at their retirement age. This study adopted a descriptive design to examine the determinants of financial performance of pension funds in Tanzania. The study uses regression analysis approach to examine the effect of determinants on financial performance of pension funds. Data were collected from National Social Security Fund (NSSF)’s financial statements for the period from 2005 to 2022. Different tests were employed such as normality test, heteroscedasticity test multicolliniality test and autocorrelation test in multiple regression modelling. The findings from this study revealed that investments and contribution density have a positive relationship to return on assets. However, the age of the contributors has depicted a weak and insignificant relationship to the return on assets of the pension fund under investigation. Therefore, it is recommended that the pension funds have to put more efforts on its investments as well as contribution density which are key contributors to the financial performance of pension funds in Tanzania.
本研究旨在探讨坦桑尼亚养老基金财务业绩的决定因素。根据文献记载,全球有数百万人在退休年龄依靠养老基金作为主要收入来源。本研究采用描述性设计来研究坦桑尼亚养老基金财务业绩的决定因素。研究采用回归分析方法来检验决定因素对养老基金财务业绩的影响。数据收集自全国社会保障基金(NSSF)2005 年至 2022 年的财务报表。在多元回归模型中采用了不同的检验方法,如正态性检验、异方差检验、多重共线性检验和自相关检验。研究结果表明,投资和会费密度与资产回报率呈正相关关系。然而,缴款人的年龄与所调查的养老基金的资产回报率关系微弱且不显著。因此,建议养老基金在投资和缴费密度方面加大力度,因为它们是坦桑尼亚养老基金财务业绩的关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of macroeconomic variables on stock market returns: Evidence from a sample of Arabic countries facing political and economic instability 宏观经济变量对股市回报的影响:从面临政治和经济不稳定的阿拉伯国家样本中获得的证据
Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.18488/62.v11i1.3633
Radwan Alammar, Almougheer Wardeh
The main purpose of this study is to determine the presence and timing of the structural breaks in the stock market returns and investigate their impact on the relationship between the macroeconomic variables (namely the inflation rate, the exchange rate, the oil prices) and the stock market returns of a sample of Arab countries facing political and economic instability, namely (Syria, Egypt, Tunisia and Bahrain), during the period (2010-2020).  CUSUM test is performed in order to test the presence of structural breaks in stock market indexes. In case there is evidence of structural breaks, Bai and Perron Multiple Breakpoints test is used to identify points in time where significant changes may have occurred. The timing of structural breaks is used as a control variable to examine the impact of the macroeconomic variables on the stock market returns through applying Johansen cointegration test. The results provide evidence of the presence and timing of the structural breaks in the Arab stock markets under study and their role in impacting the relationship between the macroeconomic variables and stock market returns. The study concluded that the dynamics of how the macroeconomic variables affecting the stock market returns depends on the nature and timing of the structural break.
本研究的主要目的是确定股票市场收益中是否存在结构性中断及其时间,并调查其对面临政治和经济不稳定的阿拉伯国家(叙利亚、埃及、突尼斯和巴林)样本在(2010-2020 年)期间的宏观经济变量(即通货膨胀率、汇率和石油价格)与股票市场收益之间关系的影响。 进行 CUSUM 检验是为了检验股市指数是否存在结构性中断。如果存在结构性中断的证据,则使用 Bai 和 Perron 多重断点检验来确定可能发生重大变化的时间点。结构性中断的时间点被用作一个控制变量,通过应用 Johansen 协整检验来研究宏观经济变量对股市收益的影响。研究结果提供了所研究的阿拉伯股票市场存在结构性中断及其时间的证据,以及它们在影响宏观经济变量与股票市场收益率之间关系方面的作用。研究得出结论,宏观经济变量如何影响股市收益的动态取决于结构性中断的性质和时间。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of macroeconomic variables on stock market returns: Evidence from a sample of Arabic countries facing political and economic instability 宏观经济变量对股市回报的影响:从面临政治和经济不稳定的阿拉伯国家样本中获得的证据
Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.18488/62.v11i1.3633
Radwan Alammar, Almougheer Wardeh
The main purpose of this study is to determine the presence and timing of the structural breaks in the stock market returns and investigate their impact on the relationship between the macroeconomic variables (namely the inflation rate, the exchange rate, the oil prices) and the stock market returns of a sample of Arab countries facing political and economic instability, namely (Syria, Egypt, Tunisia and Bahrain), during the period (2010-2020).  CUSUM test is performed in order to test the presence of structural breaks in stock market indexes. In case there is evidence of structural breaks, Bai and Perron Multiple Breakpoints test is used to identify points in time where significant changes may have occurred. The timing of structural breaks is used as a control variable to examine the impact of the macroeconomic variables on the stock market returns through applying Johansen cointegration test. The results provide evidence of the presence and timing of the structural breaks in the Arab stock markets under study and their role in impacting the relationship between the macroeconomic variables and stock market returns. The study concluded that the dynamics of how the macroeconomic variables affecting the stock market returns depends on the nature and timing of the structural break.
本研究的主要目的是确定股票市场收益中是否存在结构性中断及其时间,并调查其对面临政治和经济不稳定的阿拉伯国家(叙利亚、埃及、突尼斯和巴林)样本在(2010-2020 年)期间的宏观经济变量(即通货膨胀率、汇率和石油价格)与股票市场收益之间关系的影响。 进行 CUSUM 检验是为了检验股市指数是否存在结构性中断。如果存在结构性中断的证据,则使用 Bai 和 Perron 多重断点检验来确定可能发生重大变化的时间点。结构性中断的时间点被用作一个控制变量,通过应用 Johansen 协整检验来研究宏观经济变量对股市收益的影响。研究结果提供了所研究的阿拉伯股票市场存在结构性中断及其时间的证据,以及它们在影响宏观经济变量与股票市场收益率之间关系方面的作用。研究得出结论,宏观经济变量如何影响股市收益的动态取决于结构性中断的性质和时间。
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引用次数: 0
CEO gender and firm performance: It is the predecessor-successor gender combination that matters! 首席执行官的性别与公司业绩:重要的是前任和继任者的性别组合!
Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.18488/62.v10i4.3527
N. Bozionelos, Yingbing Lan, Yifan Xu
This study was set to provide a response to the following question: What is the relationship between the gender of CEO successor and firm performance? We analyzed data from 4,338 CEO successions in companies listed in China Stock Exchanges from 2001 to 2016. We utilized Propensity Score Estimation for multiple treatments to operationalize different gender combinations in CEO succession (male-to-male, male-to-female, female-to-male, female-to-female). Findings suggested that it is CEO succession with different gender instead of a female successor that hurts firm performance. We also found that the power of female successors serves as a moderator: it can mitigate the negative impact of different-gender CEO succession on firm performance. The results also indicated that firm ownership (state-owned vs. non-state owned) influences the relationship between female-male CEO succession and firm performance. Practical implications: The findings imply that the gender of the CEO per se may not be the prime factor in firm performance, instead what firms should pay attention at is to smoothen the succession processes when a CEO of different gender is appointed.
本研究旨在回答以下问题:首席执行官继任者的性别与公司业绩之间有什么关系?我们分析了 2001 年至 2016 年中国证券交易所上市公司中 4,338 位 CEO 继任者的数据。我们采用倾向得分估计法进行多重处理,以操作CEO继任中的不同性别组合(男-男、男-女、女-男、女-女)。研究结果表明,不同性别的首席执行官继任者而不是女性继任者会损害公司业绩。我们还发现,女性继任者的权力可以起到调节作用:它可以减轻不同性别首席执行官继任对公司业绩的负面影响。研究结果还表明,企业所有权(国有企业与非国有企业)会影响女性-男性首席执行官继任与企业绩效之间的关系。实际意义:研究结果表明,首席执行官的性别本身可能并不是影响企业绩效的首要因素,相反,企业应该注意的是在任命不同性别的首席执行官时,如何使继任过程更加顺畅。
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引用次数: 0
The BRICS in the sustainable agenda: Performance analysis of ESG indices in the financial markets in Brazil, China, India and South Africa 可持续发展议程中的金砖国家:巴西、中国、印度和南非金融市场ESG指数的绩效分析
Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.18488/62.v10i1.3325
João José de Farias Neto, I. Fontgalland
The term ESG emerged in the report of the Global Compact (UN) in partnership with the World Bank, entitled Who Cares Wins: Connecting Financial Markets to a Changing World. However, the concept and measurement associated with ESG is not a fixed concept and there is no consensus on the exact list of issues and their materiality, but it is certain that it affects the value creation of a company. In 2006, a grouping was created, incorporating the foreign policy of Brazil, Russia, India and China, the bloc focuses on solving socioeconomic problems and using its competitive advantages, the BRICS has a proposal for sustainable development and consequently ESG. This study is justified by the fact that several empirical evidences show the benefits of the ESG agenda in the market, however, there is a gap when considering developing countries. In this article, a comparison was made between returns and performances through the average return, then the risk measurement measures are presented, namely variance, standard deviation, volatility and value at risk, in addition to the calculation of covariance, correlation, beta and drawdown, with data from the MSCI ESG Leaders index. We confirm the theory of long-term gains since in the period studied the average profitability of the ESG indices were higher in all countries compared to the broad index. As for volatility risk measures, our study confirmed the hypothesis that the risks of larger companies are greater than those of ESG companies.
ESG一词出现在全球契约(UN)与世界银行合作撰写的题为《谁在乎赢:将金融市场与不断变化的世界联系起来》的报告中。然而,与ESG相关的概念和测量并不是一个固定的概念,对于问题的确切列表及其重要性也没有达成共识,但可以肯定的是,它会影响公司的价值创造。2006年,成立了一个集团,将巴西,俄罗斯,印度和中国的外交政策纳入其中,该集团专注于解决社会经济问题并利用其竞争优势,金砖国家提出了可持续发展和ESG的建议。一些经验证据表明ESG议程在市场上的好处,这一事实证明了这项研究的合理性,然而,在考虑发展中国家时存在差距。本文以MSCI ESG Leaders指数为数据,通过平均收益对收益与业绩进行比较,给出了风险度量指标方差、标准差、波动率和风险值,并计算了协方差、相关系数、贝塔系数和回降系数。我们证实了长期收益理论,因为在研究期间,所有国家的ESG指数的平均盈利能力都高于广义指数。在波动性风险度量方面,我们的研究证实了大公司风险大于ESG公司的假设。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the Bankruptcy of Cement Companies in Bangladesh: A Study on Dhaka Stock Exchange 预测孟加拉国水泥企业破产:基于达卡证券交易所的研究
Pub Date : 2022-11-28 DOI: 10.18488/62.v9i5.3207
E. Hoque, T. Hossain, Trina Saha
The financial status of a company can be measured and predicted using a variety of tools, techniques, and models like ratio analysis, vertical and horizontal analysis, etc. The objective of this study is to identify the bankruptcy position of Bangladeshi-listed cement companies. The Altman Z-Score model has been used here to assess the intensity of insolvency of Bangladeshi cement businesses with listings on Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) considering financial information from 2018 to 2021 using Altman Z-Score model. The data has been analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (version 28.0.1.1) and also Microsoft excel. DSE currently lists seven (07) cement companies. According to the research, Heidelberg Cement Limited and Lafarge Holcim Bangladesh Limited are in the secure region having the maximum Z value of 33.47 and the minimum Z value is 3.17. Confidence Cement Limited, Meghna Cement Limited and Crown Cement Limited in 2021 are in the grey region having the maximum Z value of 2.71 and the minimum Z value of 1.82. Aramit Cement Limited, Crown Cement Limited, and Premier Cement Mills Limited are in the bankrupt region having the Z value of less than 1.80. These three companies must outperform in sales with the improvement in operational costs to overcome bankruptcy. We found a positive correlation between all of the five independent variables and the dependent variable (Z Score).
公司的财务状况可以使用各种工具、技术和模型来衡量和预测,如比率分析、垂直和水平分析等。本研究的目的是确定孟加拉国上市水泥公司的破产状况。本文使用Altman Z-Score模型,考虑2018年至2021年的财务信息,评估在达卡证券交易所(DSE)上市的孟加拉国水泥企业的破产强度。数据分析使用社会科学统计软件包(28.0.1.1版)和微软excel。DSE目前有7家水泥公司上市。根据研究,海德堡水泥有限公司和拉法基豪瑞孟加拉国有限公司处于安全区域,Z值最大值为33.47,最小值为3.17。Confidence Cement Limited、Meghna Cement Limited和Crown Cement Limited在2021年处于灰色区域,最大Z值为2.71,最小Z值为1.82。Aramit Cement Limited、Crown Cement Limited和Premier Cement Mills Limited属于破产区域,Z值小于1.80。这三家企业要想摆脱破产的困境,就必须在经营成本有所改善的情况下,在销售上取得优异的成绩。我们发现所有五个自变量和因变量(Z Score)之间呈正相关。
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引用次数: 1
Impact of Business Law on Financial Transactions with Perspective to Commercial Licensing Spectrum 商业法对金融交易的影响——从商业许可的角度看
Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.18488/62.v9i4.3164
Dawood Ahmad
Impact of business regulation alongside its business exchanges assumes a crucial part in the corporate area, regarding permitting commercial licensing. The aim of this investigation was to identify and map the business sector, including merchants, exporters, and joint venture owners, who carry out their operations in accordance with legal permission, regulations, and norms. Both essential and extra information was provided in this research-based learning technique. In the essential phase of the procedure, two surveys were made, each containing things relating to strategy and current legitimate guidelines. For the overview, respondents were approached to recognize any guidelines that affected business exchanges or imports specifically. In an optional technique, a subjective system that utilizes the inductive strategy to get information from the broker's yearly books, multinational companies, authoritative records, shippers and an exporter's authoritative reports, unfamiliar financial backers and particularly from the public authority authorities, who are designated to rehearse the law and its principles of guidelines. The gathered information was inspected utilizing Statistical package for social sciences 21st release content investigation apparatuses and an inductive methodology. In discoveries I observed that the most the organizations are being forced to rehearse the permitting system technique in their business and legitimate customs. Yet, in end alongside these limitations few firms, SMEs and others are yet abusing legitimate and economic accords. Every single corporation and company owner are being pressured by the government to comply with the rules of corporate and business law. In order to provide a clear visual representation of monetary values.
在商业许可方面,商业监管的影响及其商业交流在公司领域起着至关重要的作用。这项调查的目的是确定和绘制商业部门,包括商人、出口商和合资企业所有者,他们按照法律许可、法规和规范开展业务。在这种基于研究的学习方法中,提供了必要的和额外的信息。在程序的基本阶段,进行了两次调查,每一次都载有与战略和现行合法准则有关的事项。在概述中,我们要求受访者承认任何具体影响业务交流或进口的指导方针。在一种可选技术中,一种主观系统,利用归纳策略从经纪人的年度账目、跨国公司、权威记录、托运人和出口商的权威报告、不熟悉的财政支持者,特别是从公共当局当局获得信息,这些当局被指定排练法律及其指导原则。利用社会科学统计软件包第21版内容调查仪器和归纳方法对收集到的信息进行检查。在发现中,我观察到大多数组织都被迫在其业务和合法海关中演练许可制度技术。然而,最终,除了这些限制之外,很少有公司、中小企业和其他人滥用合法和经济协定。每一家公司和公司老板都受到政府的压力,要求他们遵守公司和商业法的规定。为了提供一个清晰的货币价值的视觉表现。
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引用次数: 0
High Analytics Information Technologies: A Patent-Based Cooperation Network Analysis 高分析信息技术:基于专利的合作网络分析
Pub Date : 2022-10-11 DOI: 10.18488/62.v9i4.3163
Angélica Pigola, P. R. Costa, L. Carvalho, G. Porto, Alex Fabianne de Paulo
Technologies that involve great part of firms are those based on high analytics information (HAI) technologies as an essential resource for operating different types of businesses. Through HAI patents analysis filed between 2000 and 2020 in the main patent offices in the world, this study aims to understand whether assignees have been developing HAI technologies in cooperation and emerging HAI technologies using social network analysis (SNA). Findings show that HAI patents assignees prioritize half of their developments in R&D internally, and the other half in partnership with other companies, primarily. It is also identified that cooperation relations are between organizations with the same nationality, especially those in South Korean and North American. In addition, United States is the main market of interest even the number of HAI technologies patented have been decreasing over the last five years. Despite this context, the identification of relational capabilities between assignees and the reconfiguration of resources, as a dynamic capability, is evidenced in HAI technologies development. Findings may support to identify HAI that still emerge in different industries, especially in service industry and support strategic Research & Development (R&D) decision-making processes to prioritize investments, identify new partnerships to innovate, or collaborate to develop public policies to foster new HAI technologies development.
涉及大部分公司的技术是基于高分析信息(HAI)技术的技术,作为运营不同类型业务的基本资源。本研究通过对2000年至2020年在世界主要专利局提交的HAI专利进行分析,旨在了解受让人是否一直在合作开发HAI技术以及使用社会网络分析(SNA)开发新兴HAI技术。研究结果表明,HAI专利受让人将其一半的开发优先于内部研发,另一半主要是与其他公司合作。还发现,合作关系是在具有相同国籍的组织之间,特别是在韩国和北美的组织之间。此外,美国是主要的感兴趣的市场,即使HAI技术的专利数量在过去五年中一直在减少。尽管如此,在人工智能技术开发中,作为一种动态能力,被指派者之间的关系能力的识别和资源的重新配置得到了证明。研究结果可能有助于识别在不同行业(特别是服务业)中仍然出现的HAI,并支持战略研发(R&D)决策过程,以确定投资的优先次序,确定新的创新伙伴关系,或合作制定公共政策以促进新的HAI技术开发。
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引用次数: 0
The Exchange Rate Volatility and Moroccan Exports: An Empirical Investigation 汇率波动与摩洛哥出口:一个实证调查
Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.18488/62.v9i4.3070
Achraf Louati, Abdellah Echaoui, Abdelatif Mouatassim
This article aims to study exchange rate volatility and its impact on exports. We examine using a VECM model the relationship between Moroccan exports and the volatility of the real effective exchange rate, over a period from the first quarter of 2000 to the first quarter of 2017. The methodology adopted takes into account the long-term relationship term between the variables, using the moving standard deviation as a measure of volatility and real-world GDP as a proxy for global demand. Although a large number of empirical studies find that exchange rate volatility tends to reduce the level of foreign trade. Our results indicate that the increase in exchange rate volatility has a positive effect on the demand for Moroccan exports. Also, the short-term dynamics show that the Granger causal effects of volatility on real exports are significant. Moreover, this article joins the empirical studies that confirm the risk-loving behaviour of exporters in the face of risk of fluctuating exchange rates.
本文旨在研究汇率波动及其对出口的影响。我们使用VECM模型研究了2000年第一季度至2017年第一季度期间摩洛哥出口与实际有效汇率波动之间的关系。采用的方法考虑了变量之间的长期关系,使用移动标准差作为波动性的衡量标准,使用真实世界的GDP作为全球需求的代表。虽然大量实证研究发现,汇率波动往往会降低对外贸易水平。我们的研究结果表明,汇率波动的增加对摩洛哥出口的需求有积极的影响。此外,短期动态表明,波动对实际出口的格兰杰因果效应是显著的。此外,本文加入了实证研究,证实了出口商面对汇率波动风险时的风险偏好行为。
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引用次数: 0
Determining Factors for Pharmaceutical Innovation and the Health Industrial Complex in Brazil and the BRICS 巴西和金砖国家医药创新和健康产业综合体的决定因素
Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.18488/62.v9i3.3032
Guilherme Arevalo Leal, Luis Paulo Bresciani, Celso Machado
The development of a local pharmaceutical research and development industry is essential to meet the demands of a large country with a large population such as Brazil. This work aims to explore the existing data on the ecosystem of the pharmaceutical industry in this group of countries, and through parameters based on the precursor literature, to identify the innovation factors and the position of Brazil in relation to the other representatives of the BRICS (the leading developing countries in the world). Since the mid-1940s, Brazil has received pharmaceutical multinationals and through government initiatives it has locally reproduced medicines developed abroad when the patents have ended. The BRICS represent the group of emerging countries considered “the big five”, with population capacity and economic growth that tend to boost the global economy in the coming years. The comparative analysis showed that Brazil has a certain lag in fundamental parameters for the existence of a national pharmaceutical R&D industry, having placed behind Russia, India and China, even symbolically by not producing a national vaccine in response to COVID-19.
发展当地的药物研发产业对于满足巴西这样一个人口众多的大国的需求至关重要。这项工作旨在探索这组国家制药业生态系统的现有数据,并通过基于先驱文献的参数,确定创新因素和巴西相对于金砖国家(世界上领先的发展中国家)其他代表的地位。自20世纪40年代中期以来,巴西接收了跨国制药公司,并通过政府倡议,在专利到期后在当地复制国外开发的药物。金砖国家代表了被称为“五大”的新兴国家集团,它们的人口容量和经济增长将在未来几年推动全球经济增长。对比分析表明,巴西在国家制药研发产业存在的基本参数上存在一定的滞后,落后于俄罗斯、印度和中国,甚至象征性地没有生产应对新冠病毒的国家疫苗。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Business, Economics and Management
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