促成签署《亚伯拉罕协定》的因素

Bowen Yi
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摘要

亚伯拉罕协议的签署在一定程度上可以促进各国共同利益的实现。然而,它也可能引发一些国家之间的冲突。本文主要从三个方面分析促成《亚伯拉罕协议》签署的重要因素:(1)外部因素——美国的干预;(2)内部因素——阿拉伯和以色列对当前国际形势的适应;(3)其他因素——COVID-19的影响、阿拉伯领导人的独裁统治以及其他国家领导人的个人政治追求。本文采用古典现实主义分析国与国之间的利益关系,并辅以新现实主义分析有关国家领导人的一些政治决策的影响。此外,本文还运用新自由主义和建构主义理论来分析国家利益之间的谈判,包括妥协、遏制和阻挠,以及谈判如何促进共同利益的实现。希望本文对今后研究全球化背景下的国家间利益、国家间的合作与冲突具有一定的借鉴意义。
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Factors Contributing to the Signing of the Abraham Accords
The signing of Abraham Accords can promote the realization of the common interests among countries to a certain extent. However, it may also trigger some conflicts among nations. This paper mainly analyzes the important factors contributing to the signing of the Abraham Accords from three perspectives: (1) the external factors -- the intervention of the US; (2) the internal factors -- the Arab and Israel’s adaptation to the current international situations; (3) other factors -- the impact of COVID-19, the dictatorship of Arab leaders, and the personal political pursuits of the leaders from other nations. In this paper, Classical Realism is used to analyze the interests between countries, and the influence of some political decisions made by relevant state leaders is supplemented by Neo-realism. Additionally, in this paper, Neoliberalism and Constructivism are also employed to analyze the negotiations between national interests, including compromise, containment, and obstruction, as well as how negotiations promote the realization of common interests. It is expected that this paper can be of some reference significance to future research on the interests between nations as well as their cooperation and conflicts in the context of globalization.
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