新技术传播中的规模与范围:来自农用拖拉机的证据

D. Gross
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引用次数: 9

摘要

以农用拖拉机为例,我表明,技术扩散的滞后是在两个不同的边缘出现的,我称之为规模和范围。尽管拖拉机现在几乎用于所有的农业田间作业和几乎所有作物的生产,但它们最初的应用范围要有限得多。因此,早期在这些较窄的应用中传播迅速,但在拖拉机技术普及之前,范围有限。扩散的顺序与特定与通用属性的研发模型以及其他历史例子是一致的,这表明理解技术扩散的关键不仅在于解释不同用户的数量,还在于解释不同用途的数量。
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Scale versus Scope in the Diffusion of New Technology: Evidence from the Farm Tractor
Using the farm tractor as a case study, I show that lags in technology diffusion arise along two distinct margins, which I term scale and scope. Though tractors are now used in nearly every agricultural field operation and in the production of nearly all crops, they first developed with much more limited application. Early diffusion was accordingly rapid in these narrower applications, but limited in scope until tractor technology generalized. The sequence of diffusion is consistent with a model of R&D in specific- versus general-purpose attributes and with other historical examples, suggesting that the key to understanding technology diffusion lies not only in explaining the number of different users, but also in explaining the number of different uses.
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