新冠肺炎疫情和加密货币价格对证券交易所指数的影响——来自上海证券交易所的证据

Nguyen Van Chien
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摘要

2019年底,发源于中国武汉的新冠肺炎疫情已成为严重的全球性问题。中国实施了隔离、保持社交距离和大规模接种疫苗的政策,同时其股市在2020年和2021年实现了显着增长。利用2020年1月22日至2021年3月24日的时间序列数据,采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型的方法评估了疫情对上海股市的影响。研究结果表明,无论从短期还是长期来看,疫情对上海股市都没有影响。至于加密货币的影响,短期内加密货币对股票市场的影响是存在的,具体来说,比特币相关加密货币价格的下跌使上海股市大幅上涨。此外,从长期来看,与比特币相关的加密货币与股市之间没有任何影响。
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The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Cryptocurrency Price on the Stock Exchange Index – Evidence from Shanghai Stock Exchange
At the end of 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic that originated from Wuhan - China has become a serious global problem. China implemented a policy of isolation, social distancing, and mass vaccination among the population, and simultaneously its stock market recorded a remarkable growth in 2020 and 2021. Using the time-series data in the period from January 22, 2020, to March 24, 2021, the method of non-linear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) model is used to assess the impact of the pandemic on the Shanghai stock market. The research results show that there has been no impact of the pandemic on the Shanghai stock market both in the short and long terms. As for the impact of cryptocurrencies, there is an impact of cryptocurrencies on the stock market in the short term, specifically, a decrease in the price of the bitcoin-related cryptocurrency has significantly increased the Shanghai stock market. Further, there has been no impact between bitcoin-related cryptocurrencies and the stock market in the long term.
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