突尼斯的可持续交通:环境库兹涅茨曲线分析

R. Mraihi, Riadh Harizi, S. Alaouia
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引用次数: 4

摘要

家庭和活动的高度集中导致城市流动性增加及其相关的负面外部性,特别是私人车辆的使用增加。在突尼斯,家庭往往从农村迁移到城市地区,机动化有了显著的提高。本文的目的是研究突尼斯特大城市道路运输系统的可持续性,这些城市的城市密度较高,负外部性已成为人口的严重问题。为此,我们利用环境库兹涅茨曲线研究了1989-2008年期间突尼斯道路交通的收入与若干环境和社会负外部性之间的关系。此外,我们还考察了交通方式选择(私家车和公共交通)的相同关系,以研究城市交通的影响。结果表明,两种空气污染物:二氧化硫和悬浮颗粒物呈倒u型关系。二氧化碳与收入呈单调上升关系,二氧化氮呈l型下降曲线。对于其他负外部性,我们发现能源消耗-收入关系单调上升,事故呈倒u型关系。最后,我们发现私家车的收入-使用关系单调上升。对于不存在EKC的变量,应确定相应的措施。
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Sustainable transport in Tunisia: An analysis of the environmental Kuznets curve
The higher concentration of households and activities leads to increase the urban mobility and their associated negative externalities especially with a more use of private vehicles. In Tunisia, households tend to migrate from rural to urban areas and the motorization has known an important rise. The aim of this article is to examine the sustainability of road transport systems in Tunisian mega cities where the urban density is higher and negative externalities have become a serious problem for the population. To this end we examined the relationship between income and several environmental and social negative externalities of road traffic in Tunisia during the 1989-2008 periods by using the Environmental Kuznets Curve. Moreover, we examined the same relationship for the modal choices (private vehicles and public transportation) to study the impact of the urban mobility. Results indicated an inverted U-shape relationship for tow air pollutants: sulfur dioxide and suspended particulate matter. However, we found a monotonically rising carbon dioxide-income relationship and a downward curve with L-shaped for Nitrogen dioxide. For the rest of negative externalities, we detected a monotonically rising energy consumption-income relationship and an inverted U-shape relationship for accidents. Finally, we detected a monotonically rising for the income-use of private vehicles relationship. Some measures should be decided for the variables which EKC is not exist.
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