基于系统思维的洪水风险管理概念框架初探

A. Anisah, B. Santosa, D. B. Sencaki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

洪水风险管理(FRM)由政府实施,以应付洪水,包括减轻/预防、准备、响应和恢复阶段。城市洪涝灾害的频繁发生表明所应用的FRM尚未有效发挥作用。由于洪水风险成分与FRM程序之间的相互依存关系非常复杂,因此本研究建议在洪水风险管理中使用系统思维。因此,可以使用因果循环图形式的系统思维来探索FRM框架内的程序与洪水风险成分之间的相互依存关系。通过确定洪水风险与FRM之间的相互依存模式,FRM计划可以指导实现最终目标,即降低一个地区的洪水风险。因此,洪水易发地区的生活可以持续和谐地进行。
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Conceptual Framework of Systems Thinking based Flood Risk Management: A Preliminary Study
Flood Risk Management (FRM) is implemented by the government to cope with floods, with mitigation/prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery phases. The occurrence of urban flooding regularly indicates that the applied FRM has not functioned effectively. This study proposes using systems thinking in flood risk management since the interdependence between flood risk components and the programs in the FRM is complex. For this reason, systems thinking in the form of a causal loop diagram can be used to explore the interdependence between programs within the FRM framework and flood risk components. By identifying the pattern of interdependence between flood risk and FRM, FRM programs can be directed to achieve the final target, namely reducing flood risk in an area. Therefore, life in flood-prone areas can occur sustainably and harmoniously.
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