欧洲在北非:

Timo Behr, Saskia van Genugten
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摘要

欧洲地缘政治给北非投下了长长的阴影。由于欧洲在“稳定”地区的政治、经济和战略利益,欧洲长期以来一直不鼓励北非国家出现不受控制的政治变革进程。然而,在2011年春天,阿拉伯青年的大规模示威打破了该地区普遍存在的僵局,推翻了一些长期执政的阿拉伯独裁者。“阿拉伯之春”将在多大程度上影响欧洲人之间的地缘政治关系,以及欧洲作为一个整体在全球等级秩序中的地位,这一问题仍未得到解答。欧洲对阿拉伯革命姗姗来迟的支持,是会重塑其地缘政治重要性和国际使命,还是会加速其无休止的衰落?在这篇文章中,我们将通过考察欧洲与北非关系的历史发展,以及欧洲如何在国内面临挑战和来自新的非西方行为体的竞争的情况下,努力保持其以前的一些影响力,来审视这个问题。
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Europe in North Africa :
European geopolitics cast a long shadow in North Africa. Due to its political, economic and strategic interests in a ‘stable’ neighbourhood, Europe has for long discouraged a process of uncontrolled political change in North African countries. However, in the spring of 2011, mass demonstrations by Arab youths broke the prevailing deadlock in the region and swept away a number of long standing Arab dictators. The question that remains unanswered is to what extent the ‘Arab Spring’ will affect geo-political relations among Europeans and Europe’s standing as a whole in the global pecking order. Will Europe’s belated support for the Arab revolutions renew its geopolitical importance and international mission, or will it precipitate its interminable decline? In this article, this question is being scrutinised by looking at the historical development of European relations with North Africa and how Europe is trying to preserve some of its former influence despite domestic challenges and competition from new, non-Western actors.
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