{"title":"确凿的证据?枪支持有与社区犯罪之间的联系","authors":"Stephen B. Billings","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3588439","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Using linked individual data on concealed handgun permits (CHP), reported crimes and arrests, I examine the dynamics of gun-ownership, victimization and neighborhood crime. I estimate the impact of guns on crime through a shift-share instrument based on spikes in gun sales after high-profile events that impact beliefs about future gun rights and existing variation in a neighborhood's share of likely future gun-owners (republicans). Results show a 5.9% increase in neighborhood crime for each additional CHP issued with gun-related crimes suggesting a role for guns stolen and moved to the illegal gun market, and increased use of guns for violent crimes.","PeriodicalId":166719,"journal":{"name":"Andrew Young: Department of Economics (Topic)","volume":"45 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Smoking Gun? Linking Gun Ownership to Neighborhood Crime\",\"authors\":\"Stephen B. Billings\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3588439\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Using linked individual data on concealed handgun permits (CHP), reported crimes and arrests, I examine the dynamics of gun-ownership, victimization and neighborhood crime. I estimate the impact of guns on crime through a shift-share instrument based on spikes in gun sales after high-profile events that impact beliefs about future gun rights and existing variation in a neighborhood's share of likely future gun-owners (republicans). Results show a 5.9% increase in neighborhood crime for each additional CHP issued with gun-related crimes suggesting a role for guns stolen and moved to the illegal gun market, and increased use of guns for violent crimes.\",\"PeriodicalId\":166719,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Andrew Young: Department of Economics (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"45 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-04-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Andrew Young: Department of Economics (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3588439\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Andrew Young: Department of Economics (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3588439","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Smoking Gun? Linking Gun Ownership to Neighborhood Crime
Using linked individual data on concealed handgun permits (CHP), reported crimes and arrests, I examine the dynamics of gun-ownership, victimization and neighborhood crime. I estimate the impact of guns on crime through a shift-share instrument based on spikes in gun sales after high-profile events that impact beliefs about future gun rights and existing variation in a neighborhood's share of likely future gun-owners (republicans). Results show a 5.9% increase in neighborhood crime for each additional CHP issued with gun-related crimes suggesting a role for guns stolen and moved to the illegal gun market, and increased use of guns for violent crimes.
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