分析南非能源消耗的影响:LMDI的应用

O. Olanrewaju
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引用次数: 3

摘要

工业参与对任何国家的经济增长都至关重要。然而,如果不加以管理,中国的能源需求可能会削弱经济。南非最近经历了负荷下降,导致制造业和采矿业产出下降,拖累了经济增长。本研究主要通过指数分解分析(IDA)的一种形式——对数平均分割指数(LMDI),了解1994 - 20016年间中国基础化工、非金属矿、基础钢铁、基础有色金属和其他制造业等工业子行业的能源消耗影响因素。这些因素是活动、结构和强度。在这三个因素中,活动对能源消耗量的增加负有最大的责任,而强度因素则有助于减少能源消耗。结构效应对能源消耗的贡献最小。结果表明,应该更多地关注会影响经济活动效果的政策。
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Analysing Impacts Responsible for South Africa's Energy Consumption: LMDI Application
Industry participation is pivotal to the economic growth of any nation. However, its energy demand, if not managed can cripple the economy. South Africa recently experienced load shedding resulting in the decreased of manufacturing and mining outputs among others dragging down the economic growth. This study focused on understanding those factors responsible for the energy consumption in the following industrial sub-sectors: basic chemicals, non-metallic minerals, basic iron and steel, basic non-ferrous metals and other manufacturing industries, between 1994 and 20016 through the application of Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), a form of Index Decomposition Analysis (IDA). These factors are the activity, structure and intensity. Among the three factors, activity was the most responsible for the increase in the amount of energy consumed whereas intensity factor contributed to minimizing energy consumption. Structural effect contributed minimally to the consumption of energy. The results implied concentrating more on policies that would affect the activity effect.
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