V4国家啤酒市场发展

M. Richter, E. Richterová, I. Zentková
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是找出啤酒生产在不同的V4国家之间的关系。采用修正异方差和自相关的对数回归分析,观察了啤酒产量作为因变量与自变量啤酒消费量、大麦和啤酒花产量、进出口数量之间的关系。所有估计的对数回归模型在统计上都是高度显著的。没有统计显著性的变量不被解释。所有解释变量都是非弹性的。除了捷克共和国,啤酒消费是啤酒生产的重要变量,这可以表明捷克啤酒厂的出口导向。在给定的模型中,啤酒出口量是一个显著变量。在斯洛伐克,大麦产量在统计上显著,但与啤酒产量负相关。在其他国家,大麦和啤酒花的产量在统计上并不显著。这可能意味着这些作物不会直接用于国内啤酒生产。农作物出口是为了从初级生产者那里获得更高的附加值。基于此,啤酒大多由中间产品生产或从其他国家进口。
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The V4 Countries Beer Market Development
The aim of the paper is to find out the relationship between beer productions in separate V4 countries. Logarithmic regression analyses with corrected heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation is used to observe the relationship between beer production as dependent variable and independent variables beer consumption, barley and hops yield, imported and exported quantity. All estimated logarithmic regression models are statistically highly significant. Variables without statistical significance are not interpreted. All interpreted variables are inelastic. Except of Czech Republic beer consumption is significant variable in relation to beer production what can suggest export orientation of Czech breweries. Exported beer quantity is significant variable in given model. In Slovakia barley yield is statistically significant but negatively correlated to beer production. In other countries barley and hops yields are not statistically significant. This may mean that these crops are not directly used in domestic beer production. Crops are exported in order to obtain higher added value from side of primary producers. Based on that, beer is mostly produced from intermediate products or imported from other countries.
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