商业银行对尼日利亚农作物生产的融资和发展

K. A. Saka, K. B. Aladelusi
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摘要

本研究评估了1981年至2020年商业银行提供的信贷融资工具对尼日利亚作物生产发展的短期和长期影响。本研究采用事后研究设计,研究变量数据来源于尼日利亚中央银行统计公报和世界银行发展指标。采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型方法进行估计。分析结果表明,商业银行贷款和预付款在短期内对作物生产发展具有显著的负向影响。然而,从长远来看,商业银行的贷款和预付款以及农业部门的劳动力就业对尼日利亚的作物生产发展产生了重大的积极影响。研究人员得出结论,商业银行的信贷融资在长期内显著增加了农业对尼日利亚国内生产总值的贡献,但在短期内却降低了作物生产率。
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COMMERCIAL BANK FINANCING AND DEVELOPMENT OF CROP PRODUCTION IN NIGERIA
This study evaluates both short-run and long-run impacts of credit financing facilities provided by commercial banks on crop production development in Nigeria from 1981 to 2020. The study adopts ex post-facto research design and obtains data on the study variables from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Bank Development Indicators. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model approach was employed as an estimation technique. The outcome of the analysis produces significant negative effect of commercial banks loans and advances on crop production development in the short run. In the long run, however, commercial banks loans and advances and labour employment in agriculture sector exert significant positive impact on crop production development in Nigeria. The researchers conclude that commercial banks credit financing significantly increase contribution of agriculture to Nigeria gross domestic product in the long-run while it reduces crop productivity in the short-run.
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