动物精神的理论和经验及其对投资的影响:哥伦比亚案例

María Isabel Rojas-Triana, Jeisson Gabriel Parra-Mariño, Jhancarlos Gutiérrez-Ayala
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文从凯恩斯的观点出发,拓宽了动物精神的概念及其与投资者预期的相互作用,提出了一种理性的方法。VEC计量经济模型证明了这一点,该模型表明,面对过去一年的投资和收入冲击,投资预期,特别是哥伦比亚的投资预期变得积极;而负增长,则是面对信心指数和利率的冲击。它建议改变行为经济学,以支持公共政策中预测的财务福利。
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Teoría y empírica de los espíritus animales e incidencia en la inversión: caso Colombia
This paper presents an approach to rationality from Keynes’ perspective, broadened in the concept of animal spirits and their interaction with investors’ expectations. It is exemplified by a VEC econometric model, which shows that investment expectations, in particular for Colombia, become positive in the face of past-year investment and income shocks; and negative, in the face of confidence index and interest rate shocks. It suggests changes for behavioral economics in favor of financial well-being projected in public policies.
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