墨西哥住房融资:现状与未来可持续性

Marco A. López-Silva, Raúl Abreu-Lastra, Alberto Saracho-Martínez, Agustín Paulín-Hutmacher
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引用次数: 8

摘要

2001年,墨西哥推出了一套全面的联邦住房政策。结果在数量上令人印象深刻;然而,也存在一些质量问题。目前的补贴计划是否会对参与的抵押贷款发行机构产生负面的财务影响也是不确定的,因为工作稳定性较差的较贫穷申请人被注入了借款人的行列。本文通过分析墨西哥主要抵押贷款发行人INFONAVIT提供的一个大型数据库来解决这个问题,该数据库包含借款人还款行为的信息。研究发现,获得财政补贴的借款人的违约率并不比没有获得财政援助的借款人高。实际上,与未接受补贴的借款人相比,接受补贴的借款人首次出现违约的时间更长。因此,目前的补贴计划似乎不会对参与的抵押贷款机构产生负面的财务影响。
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Housing Finance in Mexico: Current State and Future Sustainability
In 2001, Mexico introduced a comprehensive federal housing policy package. The results have been quantitatively impressive; however, there are qualitative concerns. It is also uncertain whether current subsidy programs have negative financial implications for participating mortgage issuers, as poorer applicants with lower job stability are injected into the pool of borrowers. This paper addresses that question by analyzing a large database provided by INFONAVIT, Mexico’s principal mortgage issuer, which contains information on borrowers’ repayment behavior. It is found that borrowers who received subsidies do not show higher default rates than borrowers who received no financial assistance. Borrowers receiving subsidies actually take longer to show their first default than borrowers not receiving subsidies. Therefore, current subsidy programs do not seem to have negative financial implications for participating mortgage institutions.
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