2019冠状病毒病对智利能源转型政策和目标的影响

C. Vásquez, M. Gómez-Caicedo, Mercedes Gaitán-Ángulo, Luís Manuel-Navas, Rodrigo Ramírez-Pisco, R. Acevedo, José Nieto
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摘要

由于气候变化,温室气体(GHG)排放增加,导致能源转型政策的实施。各国通过了《巴黎协定》,以遏制气候变化的影响。2020年COVID-19的出现导致采取了不同措施来阻止其传播。本研究评估了智利在第一波covid -19相关限制(如隔离和流动限制)对遵守该国能源转型政策和到2050年实现脱碳能源矩阵目标的影响。为此,对主要的温室气体贡献者进行了评估。根据智利最新发布的第四份两年一次的气候变化报告,主要的温室气体排放源是能源部门(在发电和输电过程中)。此外,通过分析智利中央银行提供的季度GDP数据,对该国同期的经济增长进行了评估。结果表明,与前2年同期相比,温室气体排放量有所减少。由于能源部门贡献了77%的排放量,因此有可能通过针对该部门来实现既定目标。然而,与covid -19相关的限制措施减缓了该国的经济,正如研究期间季度GDP大幅下降所表明的那样。
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Impact of COVID-19 on Chile's Energy Transition Policies and Goals
Because of climate change, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions have increased, leading to the implementation of energy transition policies. Countries have adopted the Paris Agreement to curb the effects of climate change. The emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 led to the application of different measures to stop its transmission. This study evaluated the effects of COVID-19-related restrictions (such as quarantine and mobility restriction) in Chile during the first wave on compliance with the country's energy transition policies and the goals toward a decarbonized energy matrix by 2050. For this, the main GHG contributors were evaluated. According to updated Chile's fourth biennial climate change report, the main GHG contributor is the energy sector (during the generation and transportation of electricity). In addition, the country’s economic growth during the same period was evaluated by analyzing the quarterly GDP data presented by the Central Bank of Chile. The results indicated a decrease in GHG emissions compared with the same period of the previous 2 years. Because the energy sector contributes 77% of emissions, the fulfillment of the established goals is possible by targeting this sector. However, the COVID-19-related restrictions slowed down the country's economy, as indicated by the significant decreases in quarterly GDP during the study period.
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