马来西亚伊斯兰银行与传统银行绩效比较分析(2010- 2018)

Sanah Inayat Kassam, Navaz Naghavi
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摘要

本文探讨了银行特定变量和宏观经济变量(包括2015-2018年中国股市崩盘)在9年期间(2010年至2018年)对马来西亚传统银行和伊斯兰银行的银行业绩(ROA)的影响。为此,根据穆迪投资者服务和马来西亚央行的统计数据,选择了5家传统银行和伊斯兰银行。银行的实证数据是从个别年度报告和马来西亚统计局中检索的。本文采用多元线性回归分析和Pearson相关(r)检验来确定各变量与银行资产收益率(ROA)的显著性,以衡量银行的盈利能力。测试的具体变量包括存款总额、不良贷款、非利息收入、董事会性别多元化,而宏观经济变量包括利率、通货膨胀、GDP和2015年中国股市崩盘。结果表明,总存款对传统银行的盈利能力有积极影响,而非利息收入对伊斯兰银行的盈利能力有积极影响。研究发现,无论是伊斯兰体系还是传统体系,不良贷款与银行盈利能力都存在显著的负相关关系。在这段时间里,包括中国股市崩盘在内的宏观经济变量都没有影响马来西亚银行的盈利能力。伊斯兰银行被认为比传统银行表现更好,在整个分析期间实现了更高的ROA。本研究的结果可以帮助马来西亚银行,他们的投资者和股东,以及政策制定者和政府在决定举措,以最大限度地提高银行的业绩,特别是履行马来西亚国家银行的业务计划(BP)目标在未来十年。
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A Comparative Performance Analysis of Islamic and Conventional Banks in Malaysia (2010- 2018)
This paper explores the impact of bank-specific and macroeconomic variables, including the 2015-2018 Chinese stock market crash, on bank performance (ROA) of Conventional and Islamic banks in Malaysia, during the 9-year period (2010 to 2018). For this purpose, 5 Conventional and Islamic banks were selected based on Moody’s investor service and BNM statistics. The Empirical data for the banks was retrieved from individual annual reports and the Malaysian Department of Statistics. This paper performs a multiple linear regression analysis, and Pearson’s correlation (r) test to determine significance of each variable with bank’s Return on Assets (ROA), as a measure of profitability. The specific variables tested include Total deposits, Non-performing Loans, Noninterest income, Gender diversification in the board, while macroeconomic variables include Interest rate, Inflation, GDP and the 2015 China Stock Market Crash. The results concluded that Total deposits have a positive impact on bank profitability for conventional banks, while Noninterest income increases profitability for Islamic banks. Non-performing loans was found to have a significant negative relationship with bank profitability for both Islamic and conventional systems. None of the macroeconomic variables impacted Malaysia’s bank profitability for this time period, including the China stock market crash. Islamic banks were deemed better performing than Conventional banks, achieving a higher ROA throughout the time period analysed. The findings of this study can aid Malaysian banks, their investors and shareholders, as well as policymakers and the government in deciding initiatives to maximise banks performance, especially to fulfil Bank Negara Malaysia’s Banks Business Plan (BP) objectives in the coming decade.
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