基于内放电特性的环网罐寿命深度神经网络预测方法

Jianbing Pan, Yanwu Yu, Xiaoping Yang, Zhixiang Deng, Yuxiang Hao, Zaide Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了提高环网柜寿命预测的效果,研究了基于环网柜内部分布特点的深度神经网络寿命预测方法。采用最优小波包变换方法提取环网柜局部放电特征。采用核主成分分析方法降维处理环网柜局部放电特性。建立双向长时记忆深度神经网络。将降维后的局部分布特征输入到网络和自回归综合移动平均模型中,输出具有非线性和线性特征的环网柜寿命预测结果。将两种估计结果结合得到最终的寿命估计结果。实验结果表明,该算法能够有效地提取环网机柜内部局部放电特征并进行降维。可以准确预测环网柜在不同类型本地配电下的使用寿命。在不同局部放电强度下,环形网柜寿命预测算法的r平方系数较高,预测效果较好。
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Deep neural network prediction method of ring network tank life based on internal discharge characteristics
In order to improve the effect of ring network cabinet life prediction, the deep neural network life prediction method based on the characteristics of internal distribution of ring network cabinet is studied. Using the optimal wavelet packet transform method, the local discharge characteristics of ring network cabinet are extracted. Nuclear principal component analysis was used to reduce dimension to deal with the local discharge characteristics of ring network cabinet. The bidirectional long-term memory deep neural network was established. The local distribution characteristics after dimensionality reduction were input into the network and the autoregressive comprehensive moving average model, and the life prediction results of the ring network cabinet with nonlinear and linear characteristics were output. The final life estimation results are obtained by combining the two estimation results. Experimental results show that the algorithm can effectively extract and reduce the dimension of the internal local discharge features of ring network cabinet. It can accurately predict the service life of the ring network cabinet under different types of local distribution. Under different local discharge intensities, the R-square coefficient of the algorithm for predicting the life of the ring network cabinet is higher, which has better prediction effect.
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