负荷预测的各种方法的分析和比较:综述

S. Khatoon, Ibraheem, A. Singh, Priti
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引用次数: 13

摘要

准确的负荷预测是电力系统规划和运行的基础。随着终端用电规模的不断扩大,负荷预测技术变得越来越复杂。根据负载变化的性质,一种特定的方法可能不适用于每种情况。在选择特定的方法之前,需要对不同的技术进行概述。本文对各种负荷预测技术进行了分析。通过比较分析来了解每种技术的性能。没有一个人是单独完美的;目前的趋势是混合动力车型。
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Analysis and comparison of various methods available for load forecasting: An overview
Accurate load forecasting is essential for power system planning and operation. As the electricity end uses expand, load forecasting technique becomes more complicated. Depending on the nature of load variations, one particular method may not be suitable in each case. Before choosing a particular method, an overview of different techniques is required. This paper presents the analysis of various techniques for load forecasting. A comparative analysis is presented to understand the performance of each technique. None of them is found to be perfect alone; the trend is towards hybrid models.
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