net:时间序列的网络估计

M. Barigozzi, C. Brownlees
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引用次数: 174

摘要

这项工作提出了新的网络分析技术的多元时间序列。我们将多元时间序列的网络定义为一个图,其中顶点表示过程的组成部分,边缘表示非零的长期偏相关。然后,我们引入了一个两步LASSO过程,称为NETS,来估计高维稀疏长期部分相关网络。这种方法基于过程的VAR近似,并允许将长期联系分解为系统的动态和同期依赖关系的贡献。分析了估计量的大样本性质,建立了非零长期偏相关的一致性选择和估计的条件。以一组美国蓝筹股为例说明了这种方法。
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NETS: Network Estimation for Time Series
This work proposes novel network analysis techniques for multivariate time series. We define the network of a multivariate time series as a graph where vertices denote the components of the process and edges denote non zero long run partial correlations. We then introduce a two step LASSO procedure, called NETS, to estimate high dimensional sparse Long Run Partial Correlation networks. This approach is based on a VAR approximation of the process and allows to decompose the long run linkages into the contribution of the dynamic and contemporaneous dependence relations of the system. The large sample properties of the estimator are analysed and we establish conditions for consistent selection and estimation of the non zero long run partial correlations. The methodology is illustrated with an application to a panel of U.S. bluechips.
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