基于D-S证据理论的中国企业海外港口投资信心指数构建与应用研究

Bing Chen, Zilong Jia, Yang Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

“一带一路”战略提出后,中国海外港口投资发展迅速。为了帮助中国港口企业降低投资风险,本文通过建立港口投资信心指标体系,为中国港口企业海外港口投资提供帮助和建议。本文建立了港口投资信心指标体系,包括经济规模、外部联系、内部活力和制度质量四个方面。然后,通过DS证据理论,利用问卷调查得到的主观权重和每次数据库查询得到的数据计算出的客观权重,对“一带一路”沿线的一些国家进行评价,以证明本文设计的指标体系的合理性和可操作性,为中国企业海外港口投资提供建议和帮助。根据本文得出的主观权重,中国企业更倾向于投资于内部经济发展较好、制度环境较好的经济体。通过对收入客观权重的比较,本文发现企业在投资发展程度较高的经济体时,对该经济体营商环境的影响更为关注。低水平经济体在投资时会优先考虑港口的盈利能力和发展前景。贡献/创意:本文建立了港口投资信心指标体系,涵盖经济规模、外部联系、内部活力和制度质量四个方面。
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Research on the Construction and Application of Chinese Enterprises Overseas Port Investment Confidence Index Based on D-S Evidence Theory
After the "One Belt, One Road" strategy was proposed, China's overseas port investment has developed rapidly. In order to help Chinese port companies reduce their investment risks, this article provides help and suggestions for Chinese compan ies’ overseas port investments by establishing a port investment confidence index system. This article has established a port investment confidence index system, covering four aspects: economic scale, external links, internal vitality and institutional quality. Then, through DS evidence theory, using the subjective weights obtained from the questionnaire survey and the objective weights calculated from the data obtained from each database query to evaluate some countries along the “Belt and Road” route to prove the rationality and operability of the indicator system designed in this article And provide advice and assistance for Chinese companies’ overseas port investment. Based on the subjective weights obtained in this article, Chinese companies are more inclined to invest in economies with better internal economic development and a sound institutional environment. By comparing the objective weights of income, this paper finds that when companies invest in economies with a higher degree of development, they pay more attention to the impact of the business environment of the economy when they invest in economies with a higher degree of development. Low-level economies will give priority to the profitability and development prospects of ports when investing. Contribution/Originality: This article has established a port investment confidence index system, covering four aspects: economic scale, external links, internal vitality and institutional quality.
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