新冠肺炎大流行背景下经济复苏的公共卫生干预框架:概念

Jianqing Wu, P. Zha
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摘要

新冠肺炎疫情对个人生活、美国经济、世界经济都产生了巨大的负面影响。冻结所有人类活动并不是一项可持续的措施。因此,我们希望开发一个公共干预框架,允许人们恢复个人和经济活动。在本文中,我们研究了传播途径、疾病严重程度、个人脆弱性、可用治疗方法和人与人之间的相互作用,以建立一个一般的公共干预框架。我们将人们分为风险组,非风险组和可能作为病毒传递者的组,探索每组内个人之间以及不同组之间的相互作用,并提出相互作用行为修改以减轻病毒暴露。对于非危险人群,我们确定了预防措施,可以帮助他们避免造成更高死亡风险的最严重暴露和感染。本发明针对弱势群体的措施包括暴露前措施、强化保护措施、相互作用行为改变、暴露后补救措施和多因素治疗,以降低死亡和残疾风险。多重干预和双向防御行为改变有望降低易受感染人群的可检测感染率和疾病严重程度。在这个框架下,大多数人类活动和经济活动可以照常进行。随着时间的推移,人群获得了对COVID-19病毒的群体免疫。实施这一干预框架需要大量的资源和政府的影响,而多因素治疗方案需要卫生保健专业人员的支持。
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Public Health Intervention Framework for Reviving Economy Amid the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Concept
The COVID-19 pandemic has great adverse impacts on personal life, the U.S. economy, and the world economy. Freezing all human activities is not a sustainable measure. Thus we want to develop a public intervention framework that allows people to resume personal and economic activities. In this article, we examined transmission routes, disease severity, personal vulnerability, available treatments, and person-person interactions to establish a general public intervention framework. We divide people into risk groups, non-risk group and group that may serve as viral transmitters, explore interactions between individual persons within each group and between different groups, and propose interaction behavior modifications to mitigate viral exposures. For the non-risk groups, we identified preventive measures that can help them avoid the most serious exposures and infections that pose higher death risks. The invention measures for the vulnerable groups include prior-exposure measures, heightened protective measures, interaction behavior changes, post-exposure remedial measures, and multiple factors treatments to reduce death and disability risks. The multiple interventions and two-ways defensive behavior modifications are expected to result in reduced rate of detectable infections and lowered disease severity for the vulnerable groups. In this framework, most human activities and economic activities can continue as normal. With time passing, the population acquires population immunity against the COVID-19 virus. Implementation of this intervention framework requires considerable resources and governmental effects while the multiple factors treatment protocol requires the support of health care professionals.
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