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Current trends in the visual transformation of periodic publications in the field of medicine and social care 医学和社会保健领域定期出版物视觉转换的当前趋势
Pub Date : 2021-10-18 DOI: 10.47696/adved.202118
V. Terziev, S. Vasileva
Contemporary trends in book publishing, “supported” by the imposition of online communication by means of information technologies, necessitated a complete change in the vision and presentation of the media in general, and for specialized periodicals in particular. The destiny of specialized publications follows the line of visual transformation of other publications. Although slower, this process is also observed in Bulgarian periodicals, incl. journals in the field of medicine and social care. The transition has been smooth, initially involving a long co-existence of both print and online editions, leading to a complete transition of e-editions.
当代图书出版的趋势,在信息技术手段强制实行网上交流的“支持”下,必须彻底改变一般媒体,特别是专业期刊的观点和呈现方式。专业出版物的命运遵循着其他出版物的视觉转换路线。保加利亚的期刊,包括医学和社会保健领域的期刊,也观察到这一进程,虽然速度较慢。过渡是顺利的,最初包括印刷和在线版本的长期共存,导致电子版本的完全过渡。
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引用次数: 0
The Effects of COVID-19 Lockdown on Bodyweight Status and Lifestyle Behaviors Among US Adults: Evidence from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 2018-2020 COVID-19封锁对美国成年人体重状况和生活方式行为的影响:来自2018-2020年行为风险因素监测系统的证据
Pub Date : 2021-09-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3930402
Jaesang Sung, W. Davis, Qihua Qiu
The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the lives of individuals living in the U.S. in a variety of ways. The combination of various effects caused by the pandemic and social distancing measures (SDMs) are likely to jointly determine individual health outcomes like body weight during the pandemic. In this paper, we use data from the 2018-2020 waves of the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) to estimate the COVID-19 pandemic’s effect on Body Mass Index (BMI) and the probability of obesity among adults living in the U.S. We use the introduction of initial COVID-19 lockdown as an indicator of when individuals’ lifestyles were likely changed by the pandemic, controlling for indicators of the economy reopening post-initial-lockdown, the contemporaneous presence of other social distancing measures, and the state COVID-19 cases per 1000 individuals. We estimate the overall effects of interest within a difference-in-differences (DID) framework, relying on the plausibly exogenous timing of COVID-19 lockdown initiation. We find a statistically significant association between the COVID-19 lockdown and body weight, with the initial lockdown leading to a 0.18 unit increase in BMI and 1.4 percentage point increase in the probability of obesity. Results for an event study suggest that adults experienced a temporary decrease in body weight in the first month of lockdown, then an increase in body weight as the time since lockdown progressed. Our findings are robust to a variety of sensitivity analysis and falsification tests. We find that COVID-19 lockdown’s effects on body weight was larger and more stable among men, non-white adults, individuals with lower levels of educational attainment, and adults living in more densely populated states. Analyzing the potential mechanisms driving our effects, while we did not find significant effects of COVID-19 on BRFSS-defined variables such as physical activity and mentally unhealthy days, we find that COVID-19 potentially impacted adult diets with increases in Google search intensity for the terms of food delivery and some specific high calorie foods. Similarly, we find that individuals may have engaged in more sedentary behaviors during the pandemic as implied by increased Google search intensity for most major video streaming platforms. Our study provides valuable results for researchers, policy makers, and other interested stakeholders concerned with the pandemic’s potential impacts on body weight.
COVID-19大流行以各种方式影响了生活在美国的个人的生活。大流行和社会距离措施(SDMs)造成的各种影响可能共同决定大流行期间的体重等个人健康结果。在本文中,我们使用行为风险因素监测系统(BRFSS) 2018-2020年的数据来估计COVID-19大流行对美国成年人体重指数(BMI)和肥胖概率的影响。我们使用COVID-19最初封锁的引入作为个人生活方式何时可能被大流行改变的指标,控制经济在最初封锁后重新开放的指标。同时是否存在其他社会距离措施,以及该州每1000人的COVID-19病例数。我们根据COVID-19封锁启动的合理外生时间,在差异中差异(DID)框架内估计兴趣的总体影响。我们发现COVID-19封锁与体重之间存在统计学上显著的关联,最初的封锁导致BMI增加0.18个单位,肥胖概率增加1.4个百分点。一项事件研究的结果表明,成年人在封锁的第一个月体重暂时下降,然后随着封锁时间的推移体重增加。我们的发现是稳健的各种敏感性分析和证伪检验。我们发现,COVID-19封锁对体重的影响在男性、非白人成年人、受教育程度较低的个人以及生活在人口稠密州的成年人中更大、更稳定。分析了驱动我们研究结果的潜在机制,虽然我们没有发现COVID-19对brfss定义的变量(如身体活动和心理不健康天数)有显著影响,但我们发现,随着谷歌对食品配送和某些特定高热量食品的搜索强度增加,COVID-19可能会影响成人的饮食。同样,我们发现,在疫情期间,人们可能会有更多的久坐行为,这一点从大多数主要视频流媒体平台的谷歌搜索强度增加中可以看出。我们的研究为研究人员、政策制定者和其他关心大流行对体重的潜在影响的利益攸关方提供了有价值的结果。
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引用次数: 1
An Analysis of Nepal’s Clinical Pediatric Services and Policies to Address Child Mortality 尼泊尔解决儿童死亡率的临床儿科服务和政策分析
Pub Date : 2021-09-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3920788
Pranav Pattatathunaduvil, Dikshya Upadhyaya, M. Prapti, Aastha Ghimire, A. Shah, P. Aryal, Sailor Alfonzo, Sarthak Bhattarai, Dara Macareno, Navaneeth M S, Aarya Moharir, M. Sharma
The study primarily focuses on assessing how effective are current services and policies at addressing and improving child health in Nepal. More than 45% of children perish before the age of 5, and the neonatal and infant mortality rates have persisted as an issue over the last decade (Humanium, n.d.). The study is divided into three phases with the first one using the 2015 Nepal Health Facility Survey data to conduct a statistical comparison of clinical pediatric services available in hospitals in high-income areas versus low-income areas. The second phase is based on a field survey assessing the mental health services available for infants, early teens, and adolescents. The third phase of this study would employ statistical analysis of Nepal Health Facility Survey 2016 data to measure the impact of several government-supported policies and the link between distance to a health facility and child health outcomes. All three phases will involve a literature review of innovative policies and services worldwide that boost child health. Our study results are expected to reveal a significant disparity in child pediatrics between higher and lower-income districts, a substantial negative impact of distance from a health facility, and disruptive approaches that could be implemented in healthcare services and government policy.
该研究主要侧重于评估尼泊尔目前的服务和政策在处理和改善儿童健康方面的有效性。超过45%的儿童在5岁之前死亡,在过去十年中,新生儿和婴儿死亡率一直是一个问题(Humanium, n.d)。该研究分为三个阶段,第一阶段使用2015年尼泊尔卫生设施调查数据,对高收入地区与低收入地区医院提供的临床儿科服务进行统计比较。第二阶段的基础是实地调查,评估为婴儿、青少年提供的心理健康服务。本研究的第三阶段将对2016年尼泊尔卫生设施调查数据进行统计分析,以衡量几项政府支持政策的影响,以及到卫生设施的距离与儿童健康结果之间的联系。所有三个阶段都将涉及对全世界促进儿童健康的创新政策和服务的文献审查。我们的研究结果有望揭示高收入地区和低收入地区在儿童儿科方面的显著差异,与卫生设施距离的实质性负面影响,以及可在医疗服务和政府政策中实施的破坏性方法。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of 'Failed' Community Mental Health Centers on Non-White Mortality 失败的社区心理健康中心对非白人死亡率的影响
Pub Date : 2021-07-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3893645
Mallory Avery, Jessica LaVoice
The Community Mental Health Act of 1963 established Community Mental Health Centers (CMHCs) across the country with the goal of providing continuous, comprehensive, community-oriented care to people suffering from mental illness. Despite this program being considered a failure by most contemporary accounts, the World Health Organization advocates for a transition from the institutionalization of the mentally ill to a system of community-centered care. In this paper, we construct a novel dataset documenting the rollout of CMHCs from 1971 to 1981 to identify the effect of establishing a CMHC on county level mortality rates, focusing on causes of death related to mental illness. Though we find little evidence that access to a CMHC impacted mortality rates in the white population, we find large and robust effects for the non-white population, with CMHCs reducing suicide and homicide rates by 8% and 14%, respectively. CMHCs also reduced deaths from alcohol in the female non-white population by 18%. These results suggest the historical narrative surrounding the failure of this program does not represent the non-white experience and that community care can be effective at reducing mental health related mortality in populations with the least access to alternative treatment options.
1963年《社区精神卫生法》在全国范围内设立了社区精神卫生中心,目的是向精神疾病患者提供持续、全面、面向社区的护理。尽管这个项目被大多数当代人认为是失败的,但世界卫生组织倡导从精神疾病的制度化过渡到以社区为中心的护理体系。在本文中,我们构建了一个新的数据集,记录了1971年至1981年CMHC的推出,以确定建立CMHC对县级死亡率的影响,重点关注与精神疾病相关的死亡原因。虽然我们发现很少有证据表明获得CMHC会影响白人的死亡率,但我们发现,CMHC对非白人的影响很大,自杀率和凶杀率分别降低了8%和14%。CMHCs还将非白人女性的酒精死亡率降低了18%。这些结果表明,围绕这个项目失败的历史叙述并不代表非白人的经历,社区护理可以有效地降低与心理健康相关的死亡率,在那些获得替代治疗选择的机会最少的人群中。
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引用次数: 0
This Great Catastrophe: Bungling Pandemics from 1918 to Today 这场大灾难:1918年至今的拙劣流行病
Pub Date : 2021-07-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3891108
Rebecca M. Bratspies
In examining how badly the United States bungled its COVID-19 pandemic response, it is worth going back to the commemorations of the 100th anniversary of the 1918 flu pandemic. Author after author cautioned that the next pandemic would overwhelm the United States health system and that the demand for hospital beds, treatments, and medical staff would quickly outstrip supply. These prescient predictions from just two years ago. Why, when the risks were so obvious and so clearly understood, were they ignored? In answering that question there is blame enough to go around. The American public increasingly refused vaccines for communicable diseases, resisted spending for health research, and elected anti-science candidates. Those elected officials in turn failed to take obvious steps to ward off an entirely foreseeable disaster. Some of these developments are new(ish), relating to the specifics of the current political climate. Yet what is most striking is how readily official responses fell into virtually the same patterns that stymied effective pandemic response in 1918, and how structural racism predicted which communities would be hardest hit and least served by government responses. Instead of learning from the mistakes of the 1918 pandemic we have largely repeated them. This paper traces some of the threads of complacency, hubris, isolationism, and distrust that got in the way both times, and draws some broader lessons we must learn about American political culture before the pandemic next time.
在审视美国对COVID-19大流行的应对有多糟糕时,有必要回顾一下1918年流感大流行100周年的纪念活动。一位又一位作者警告说,下一次大流行将使美国的卫生系统不堪重负,对医院床位、治疗和医务人员的需求将很快超过供应。这是两年前的先见之明。为什么当风险如此明显和清楚地被理解时,它们却被忽视了?在回答这个问题时,有足够的指责。美国公众越来越拒绝为传染病接种疫苗,抵制卫生研究支出,并选出了反科学的候选人。反过来,这些民选官员未能采取明显的措施来避免一场完全可以预见的灾难。其中一些发展是新的,与当前政治气候的具体情况有关。然而,最令人震惊的是,官方的反应是多么容易陷入与1918年阻碍有效大流行反应的模式几乎相同的模式,以及结构性种族主义如何预测哪些社区将受到最严重的打击,哪些社区将得到政府反应的最少服务。我们没有从1918年大流行的错误中吸取教训,而是在很大程度上重复了这些错误。本文追溯了两次出现的自满、傲慢、孤立主义和不信任的一些线索,并得出了一些我们必须在下次大流行之前从美国政治文化中吸取的更广泛的教训。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of the COVID-19 Lockdown on the Consumption of Water from the Public Water Supply Systems – Case Study of Brno COVID-19封锁对公共供水系统用水的影响——以布尔诺市为例
Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3886339
L. Ansorge, J. Dlabal, K. Drbal, M. Novák
A pandemic of COVID-19 is one of the most challenging situations in modern history in the world. Anti-epidemic measures have a significant impact on the use of natural resources. Several studies described increasing water consumption in the household sector. In the study, the data about the water supply through the drinking water supply system in the city of Brno agglomeration were analysed. The city of Brno is the second biggest city in the Czech Republic. In this preliminary study, the monthly data from 2020 were compared to data from 2015 to 2019. The results show that household water consumption in 2020 was in the Brno agglomeration at the upper boundaries of the 2015-2020 water consumption interval. On the other hand, other consumers' withdrawals in 2020 have decreased compared to the interval of water consumption in 2015-2019. Individual measures against the COVID-19 epidemic were considered in explaining the changes in water consumption from public water supply systems. The lockdowns in the March and October 2020 have the most critical effect on the water consumption drinking water supply systems. The overall effect of the COVID-19 is a modest reduction in water consumption in 2020. © 2023 Author(s).
新冠肺炎大流行是世界现代史上最具挑战性的形势之一。防疫措施对自然资源的利用有重大影响。几项研究表明,家庭部门的用水量正在增加。本研究对布尔诺城市群饮用水供水系统的供水数据进行了分析。布尔诺市是捷克共和国第二大城市。在这项初步研究中,我们将2020年的月度数据与2015年至2019年的数据进行了比较。结果表明:2020年居民用水量在2015-2020年用水量区间的上界处于布尔诺集聚区;另一方面,与2015-2019年的用水量间隔相比,2020年其他消费者的用水量有所减少。在解释公共供水系统用水量的变化时,考虑了针对COVID-19疫情的个别措施。2020年3月和10月的封城对饮用水供应系统的影响最为关键。2019冠状病毒病的总体影响是2020年用水量略有减少。©2023作者。
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引用次数: 1
Community Perception of COVID-19 and Local Response Mechanism in India 印度社区对COVID-19的认知和地方应对机制
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3878318
M. Singh
This paper has conducted a literature review of the international scenario of the local governance and covid19 (including best practices) followed by an empirical examination of risk perception and state of local governance in the two most populous states in India (UP and Bihar) with a joint population of over 300 million. Plenty of work during COVID 19 suggests multiple problems, solutions and best local practices. However, very little is known about linkages between pandemic, its community perception and local response mechanism in high population countries having scarce resources. The result of logistic regression (N=2041) shows non-migrants and females perceive no risk of COVID despite having heard of Corona, showing a perception and behavioural issue that requires special local governing attention in such societies. Further, analysis reveals infection rate is high in the districts where complete elected council is not present and are only governed by chiefs of the villages. In such a deficient state of local governance, the COVID problem could be handled by community policing instead of totally relying on strict lockdown.
本文对地方治理和2019冠状病毒病的国际情景(包括最佳做法)进行了文献综述,然后对印度人口最多的两个邦(北方邦和比哈尔邦)的风险认知和地方治理状况进行了实证研究,这两个邦的总人口超过3亿。2019冠状病毒病期间的大量工作提出了多种问题、解决方案和最佳当地做法。然而,在资源匮乏、人口众多的国家,人们对流行病、社区看法和当地应对机制之间的联系知之甚少。逻辑回归的结果(N=2041)显示,非移民和女性尽管听说过冠状病毒,但认为没有感染COVID的风险,这表明在这些社会中,这是一个需要地方政府特别关注的观念和行为问题。此外,分析显示,在没有完全选举委员会、只由村长管理的地区,感染率很高。在地方治理如此不足的情况下,新冠肺炎问题可以通过社区警务来解决,而不是完全依赖严格的封锁。
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引用次数: 0
Moral Hazard and Market Capacity: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Germany 道德风险与市场容量:来自德国自然实验的证据
Pub Date : 2021-06-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3868938
Johannes G. Jaspersen, Andreas Richter, Casey G. Rothschild, Roxane Steinacker
It is well known that health insurance coverage increases the demand for health services. However, evidence on the effects of this increased demand on the structure and capacity of the health services market is relatively scarce. We analyze the effects of a reform in the German social health insurance system which caused exogenous variation in coverage for services across different geographic regions. A formal model predicts that the reform led to an immediate decline in demand for services and that it decreased the market capacity in the long run. Our empirical analysis provides strong support for these predictions. We show that the reform was welfare improving under standard assumptions and discuss possible market frictions which could weaken or reverse these conclusions about welfare. Our study informs the ongoing policy debate about the effects of insurance coverage on the societal costs for health care.
众所周知,健康保险增加了对保健服务的需求。然而,关于这种需求增加对保健服务市场结构和能力的影响的证据相对较少。我们分析了德国社会健康保险制度改革的影响,该制度在不同地理区域的服务覆盖范围中引起了外生变化。一个正式的模型预测,改革导致对服务的需求立即下降,从长远来看,它降低了市场容量。我们的实证分析为这些预测提供了强有力的支持。我们证明了在标准假设下,改革是福利的改善,并讨论了可能削弱或逆转这些关于福利的结论的市场摩擦。我们的研究为正在进行的关于保险覆盖范围对医疗保健社会成本影响的政策辩论提供了信息。
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引用次数: 0
Does the Formal Home Care Provided to Old-Adults Persons Affect Utilization of Support Services by Informal Carers? An Analysis of the French CARE and the U.S. NHATS/NSOC Surveys 为老年人提供的正规家庭照顾是否影响非正规照顾者对支持服务的利用?法国CARE和美国NHATS/NSOC调查分析
Pub Date : 2021-01-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3769126
W. Guets
The role of informal carers in long-term care sheds light on the struggle related to population ageing and the increasing incidence of chronic disease. However, despite the increasing number of informal carers, most of them experienced the burden of caregiving. Since various policies have been implemented across countries to support informal carers, their attitude toward support services should be addressed. This research consisted of investigating how formal home care affected the utilisation of support services by informal carers. Data used stemmed from the 2015 Survey Capacite Aide et Ressources des Seniors ("CARE menage") collected in France; and the National Health and Aging Trends Survey (NHATS) with the National Survey of Caregiving (NSOC) in the United States of America (U.S.). Andersen's health behavioural model of support services utilisation provided a conceptual framework for investigating predisposing, enabling, and need variables associated with informal carers services use. We used a probit model for econometrics modelling. We also checked for the endogeneity of formal care. A sample of N = 4,866 in France and N = 1,060 in the U.S. informal carers and care recipients' dyads were used in the study. In France, the care recipients' formal care utilisation does not influence the carer support service use. Comparatively, in the United States, formal care significantly increases the respite services utilisation by informal carers. This study provides important implications for Long-Term Care (TLC) dedicated to health policy, for an optimal trade-off between informal and formal care use, bearing in mind health system specificities. First, countries may spend more funds in innovative support programs in access to care, because some carers may have difficulties in accessing and using support services. Secondly, to provide and foster information campaigns to raise awareness concerning the utilisation of various existing health services, to improve social welfare..
非正式护理人员在长期护理中的作用揭示了与人口老龄化和慢性病发病率增加有关的斗争。然而,尽管非正规照顾者的人数不断增加,但他们中的大多数人都承受着照顾的负担。由于各国已经实施了各种政策来支持非正规照顾者,因此应解决他们对支持服务的态度问题。本研究包括调查正规家庭护理如何影响非正规护理人员对支持服务的利用。使用的数据来自2015年在法国收集的调查老年人能力援助和资源(“CARE管理”);以及美国的全国健康和老龄化趋势调查(NHATS)和全国护理调查(NSOC)。Andersen的支持服务利用的健康行为模型提供了一个概念框架,用于调查与非正式护理人员服务使用相关的易感性、启用性和需求变量。我们使用probit模型进行计量经济学建模。我们还检查了正规护理的内生性。研究中使用了法国的N = 4866和美国的N = 1060的非正式照顾者和接受照顾者的夫妻。在法国,护理对象的正式护理利用不影响护理人员支持服务的使用。相比之下,在美国,正规护理显著增加了非正规护理人员对临时服务的利用。这项研究为致力于卫生政策的长期护理(TLC)提供了重要的意义,以便在非正式和正式护理使用之间进行最佳权衡,同时牢记卫生系统的特殊性。首先,各国可以将更多的资金投入到创新的支持项目中,以获得医疗服务,因为一些护理人员在获取和使用支持服务方面可能有困难。第二,开展和促进宣传运动,提高人们对利用各种现有保健服务的认识,改善社会福利。
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引用次数: 1
Towards Health System Strengthening: A Review of the Nigerian Health System From 1960 to 2019 加强卫生系统:1960年至2019年尼日利亚卫生系统回顾
Pub Date : 2021-01-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3766017
Bolaji Samson Aregbeshola
The Nigerian health system is weak and has been evolving over the years with misplaced priorities and the focus on health inputs rather than outputs. The design and adoption of several policies have contributed little to strengthening the health system towards improvement in health outcomes. Available evidence on the Nigerian health system from 1960 to 2019 was reviewed. Decentralization and fragmentation of the health system with duplication of responsibilities among the three tiers of government have affected effective health service delivery and accountability. The national health insurance scheme has provided health insurance coverage to less than five per cent of the population. Nigeria is also faced with health workforce crisis with no end in sight. While some modest gains and improvements have been recorded over the decades, maternal mortality, child mortality, immunization coverage, access to basic health services and life expectancy remain poor. Nigeria needs to strengthen its health system.
尼日利亚卫生系统薄弱,多年来一直在发展,优先事项错位,重点放在卫生投入而不是产出上。若干政策的设计和采用对加强卫生系统以改善卫生结果贡献不大。对1960年至2019年尼日利亚卫生系统的现有证据进行了审查。卫生系统的权力下放和分散以及三级政府之间的责任重复影响了有效的卫生服务提供和问责制。国家健康保险计划向不到5%的人口提供健康保险。尼日利亚还面临着看不到尽头的卫生人力危机。虽然在过去几十年中取得了一些微小的进展和改善,但孕产妇死亡率、儿童死亡率、免疫覆盖率、获得基本保健服务的机会和预期寿命仍然很低。尼日利亚需要加强其卫生系统。
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引用次数: 4
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