多流框架下国家均衡发展的政策变迁分析及其启示

Hyeon-Seok Kang, Choongik Choi
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摘要

本研究试图以Kingdon的MSF模型为基础,探讨影响国家均衡发展政策变化的因素,并提出未来有效的均衡发展政策规划。方法上采用大数据分析与文献分析相结合的方法。分析结果表明,影响国家均衡发展政策变化的因素受到当时政策问题和政策选择的影响,但受影响最大的是政治流动。值得注意的是,在卢武铉政府和文在寅政府时期,政策窗口是根据“政权更迭”的大政治趋势打开的,国家均衡发展政策的名称、实施程度、内容也随之发生了变化。分析还认为,新政府成立后,总统的国民哲学将对政策产出产生影响。
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Policy Change Analysis on Balanced National Development in Terms of Multiple Streams Framework and Its Implications
This study attempted to explore the factors affecting the change in the national balanced development policy based on Kingdon's MSF model and suggest a plan for effective balanced development policy in the future. Methodologically, big data analysis was used along with literature analysis. The analysis results show that the factors affecting the change in the national balanced development policy were influenced by policy problems and policy alternatives at the time, but the most affected was the flow of politics. It should be noted that during the MB Administration and Moon Jae-in Administration, the policy window opened in accordance with the big political trend of "regime change," and the name, degree of implementation, and content of the national balanced development policy changed accordingly. It also supports that the policy output would be influenced by the president's national philosophy following the launch of the new government.
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