基于GRA-TOPSIS模型的节点电压暂降风险评估方法

Anping Hu, Jie Lei, Yibin Tao, Bo Yang, Shuming Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确评估节点电压暂降风险是后续有效处理电压暂降的前提和基础。针对目前电压暂降评价体系研究不够完善、缺乏风险评价概念的现状,提出了一种兼顾电网侧和用户侧的电压暂降风险综合评价方法。该方法在风险评价定义的基础上,从概率预测和严重程度指标选择的角度进行分析,构建了电压暂降风险评价模型。在此基础上,运用博弈论和组合加权法构建了评价矩阵,给出了基于GRA-TOPSIS模型的电压暂降风险评价的一般过程。最后,以某省多个敏感用户的电压暂降事件数据为样本进行了算例分析,验证了评价策略的合理性、准确性和良好的实用性。
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Risk Assessment Method of Node Voltage Sag Based on GRA-TOPSIS Model
Accurate evaluation of node voltage sag risk is the premise and foundation for the following effective treatment of voltage sag. In view of the current research status of the voltage sag evaluation system, which is not complete enough and lacks risk evaluation concept, a comprehensive evaluation method of voltage sag risk taking both the power grid side and the user side into account is proposed. Based on the definition of risk evaluation, this method constructs a voltage sag risk evaluation model after analyzing the perspectives of probabilistic prediction and selection of severity indices. Then, the assessment matrix is formed by combination weighting and using game theory and the general process of voltage sag risk evaluation based on GRA-TOPSIS model is given. Finally, an example analysis which takes the data of voltage sag events of multiple sensitive users in a certain province as samples is carried out to verify the rationality, accuracy and good practicality of the evaluation strategy.
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