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摘要

邓普斯特-谢弗(DS)证据理论的表达能力和认知充分性经常得到承认。DS证据理论基于两个组成部分:一个表示陈述信念的工具,即一对集合函数(Bel, Pl),分别量化现有证据在多大程度上暗示了该陈述,以及现有证据在多大程度上与该陈述一致;也是一个整合证据的工具。因此,DS理论处理的是置信区间,而不是单个信念的数值。不相信的概念与缺乏信仰的概念之间有明显的区别。然而,正如不确定推理领域的许多其他方法一样,DS理论只解决表示知识的不确定性的问题,而没有处理表示知识本身的问题。Saffiotti(1994)提出了一个将DS理论与知识表示系统相结合的框架。这种方法引入了所谓的信念基础,其目的是允许将信念函数嵌入到更适合表示知识本身的知识表示系统中。对给定的知识表示系统,利用Dempster组合规则,采用三种基本操作构建信念基。本文描述了一种将适当修改的信念库集成到一个利用Petri网表示知识的知识表示系统中的尝试。
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Integrating Dempster-Shafer belief functions into a knowledge representation system based on Petri nets
The expressive power and the epistemic adequacy of the Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory of evidence has often been acknowledged. DS theory of evidence is based on two components: a tool for representing belief for a statement, i.e. a pair of set functions (Bel, Pl) that quantify to what extent available evidence implies the statement and to what extent is available evidence consistent with the statement, respectively; and a tool for combining evidence. Thus DS theory deals with belief intervals rather than single numerical values of belief. There is an explicit differentiation between the notion of disbelief from that of lack of belief. However, as many other methodologies in the field of uncertain reasoning, DS theory addresses only the problem of representing the uncertainty of knowledge, without dealing with the problem of representing the knowledge itself. Saffiotti (1994) has proposed a framework for integrating the DS theory with a knowledge representation system. This approach introduces so-called belief bases, whose purpose is to allow embedding belief functions into a knowledge representation system which is better suited for representing the knowledge itself. Belief bases for a given knowledge representation system are built using three primitive operations, which utilize Dempster's combination rule. This paper describes an attempt at integrating appropriately modified belief bases into a knowledge representation system which utilizes Petri nets for representing knowledge.
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