为什么在2008-2009年的“大衰退”中,德国的就业市场表现出奇地好?新经济奇迹、制度转型还是以邻为壑?

Lothar Funk
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引用次数: 3

摘要

自21世纪初以来,德国劳动力市场经历了一场全面的制度转型。虽然在20世纪90年代和21世纪初,德国通常被视为“欧洲病夫”,但该国的经济最近在许多方面被描述为国际榜样。大约十年前,一项改革方案出台,导致失业率几乎下降了一半,尽管由于金融危机和欧元区的后续和持续问题而导致经济环境困难。然而,由于其内部和外部令人不快的副作用,批评人士也对其成功提出了质疑。在解释了德国社会市场经济的本质及其在2008/2009年美国主要经济学家创造的“大衰退”之前的发展之后,本文总结了2009年以来德国劳动力市场出人意料的成功的关键方面,并解决了这些改革在国内分配不公平的相关主张,以及德国持续高出口和经常账户盈余的成功是基于以邻为壑政策的断言。最后,本文简要探讨了德国在2009年底以来的欧元区危机中是否承担了自己的责任。
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Why has the German Job Market Done Astonishingly Well Despite the 2008–2009 ‘Great Recession’? New Economic Miracle, Institutional Transformation or Beggar-thy-Neighbour Policies?
Abstract Since the early 2000s, the German labour market has undergone a sweeping institutional transformation. While during the 1990s and early 2000s, Germany was usually regarded as the ‘sick man of Europe’, the country's economy has recently been described in many respects as an international role model. Around a decade ago, a reform package was introduced that resulted in the unemployment rate being almost cut in half, in spite of the difficult economic climate due to the financial crisis and the succeeding and still ongoing problems in the Eurozone. However, the success has also been challenged due to its alleged internal and external unpleasant side-effects by critics. After having explained the essence of the German social market economy and its development prior to the deep downswing of 2008/2009 which was coined the ‘Great Recession’ by leading US economists, the paper summarises the key aspects of the rather unexpected German labour market successes since 2009 and addresses claims of related distributional injustice of these reforms within the country as well as assertions that the German success of ongoing high exports and current account surpluses is based on beggar-thy-neighbour policies. Finally, the paper briefly asks whether Germany has faced up to its responsibilities during the crisis in the Eurozone since the end of 2009.
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