迈向复杂环境系统建模的整合工具:元胞自动机方法

Mustapha Ouardouz, A. Bernoussi, M. Amharref
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在世界范围内,在不同层次上做了更多的工作来模拟和估计人类活动对环境的影响,特别是经济合作与发展组织(OCDE)在美国、日本和瑞士对环境的农业影响。通过这项工作,确定了两种方法:-一种具体方法,只考虑一个方面,例如对水的影响,并在一个广泛的地区,甚至整个国家的领土上进行研究;-一种区域方法,将问题作为一个整体考虑,考虑到限制区域内的所有方面。但是,在国家一级已经进行了几项具体工作,处理单一参数对环境的影响。此外,没有进行严格的综合研究。作为本文的一部分,我们选择以区域方法为基础,将环境问题作为一个整体来考虑。本文提出了一个基于元胞自动机模型、地理信息系统和多空间分析方法相结合的环境现象建模集成框架。该方法是通过开发模拟工具来实现的,该工具可以模拟洪水、侵蚀、植被动态,使用摩洛哥北部地区的数据来初始化和验证模型。
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Toward an Integrated Tool for Complex Environmental Systems Modeling: A Cellular Automata Approach
Toward the world, there was more works done at different levels to model and estimate the impact of human activities on the environment, in particular the agriculture impact on the environment in the USA, Japan and Switzerland in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development OCDE. Through this works two approaches were identified: - A specific approach that considers only one aspect, such as impact on water, and studied over a wide area, or even throughout the territory of a country, - A regional approach which considers the issue as a whole, taking into account all aspects in a restricted area. However, at the national level several specific works, treating the impact of a single parameter on the environment has been made. Besides, no integrated study was conducted in a rigorous manner. As part of this paper, we opted to consider environmental issues as a whole, based on a regional approach. We present in this paper, an integrated framework for modeling environmental phenomena's based on the combination of Cellular Automata models, GIS and multi-spatial analysis approach. The approach was implemented via the development of a simulation tool to model flood, erosion, vegetation dynamics, using date from a region in north morocco to initialize and validate the models.
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