COVID-19造成的破坏:应归咎于民主吗?

Badar Nadeem Ashraf
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引用次数: 7

摘要

意大利、西班牙、法国、英国和美国等几个民主国家的COVID-19死亡人数相对较高,令人担忧民主政治机构在应对COVID-19规模的公共卫生危机方面的有效性。在本文中,我们使用来自120个国家的COVID-19死亡人数的可用横断面数据集来实证研究这一问题。我们发现,民主政治体制是某些国家较高死亡人数背后的一个潜在原因的证据非常薄弱,尽管有些证据。虽然不能完全排除民主政治制度的作用,但将新冠肺炎造成的破坏归咎于民主还为时过早。然而,我们发现有力的证据表明,年龄在14至64岁之间的年轻人口比例较高的国家的死亡率明显较低,而游客人数较多的国家的死亡率相对较高。
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Devastation Caused by COVID-19: Is Democracy to Blame?
Several democracies, such as Italy, Spain, France, the United Kingdom and the United States, have observed relatively higher number of deaths from COVID-19, raising the concern about the effectiveness of democratic political institutions in dealing with the public health crisis the scale of COVID-19. In this paper, we use available cross-sectional dataset of deaths by COVID-19 from 120 countries to empirically examine this concern. We find very weak, albeit some, evidence that democratic political institutions is one potential cause behind the higher number of deaths in certain countries. While we cannot completely rule out the role of democratic political institutions however it is too early to blame democracy for the havoc caused by COVID-19. Nevertheless, we find robust evidence that countries with higher share of young population aged between 14 to 64 years experienced significantly lower deaths, while the countries with higher tourist arrivals experienced relatively higher deaths.
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