资产价格泡沫:不变性定理*

R. Jarrow, P. Protter, J. San Martín, Johnson School Working Paper Series
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文提供了一些不变性定理,便于在价格演变为马尔可夫扩散过程的市场中检验资产价格泡沫的存在性。检验只涉及价格过程在统计概率下的二次变化性质。它既不需要估计等效的局部鞅度量,也不需要估计资产的漂移。为了扩大它的用途,还提供了一种新的随机波动价格过程族,其中过程的严格局部鞅行为可以表征。
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Asset Price Bubbles: Invariance Theorems*
This paper provides invariance theorems that facilitate testing for the existence of an asset price bubble in a market where the price evolves as a Markov diffusion process. The test involves only the properties of the price process' quadratic variation under the statistical probability. It does not require an estimate of either the equivalent local martingale measure or the asset's drift. To augment its use, a new family of stochastic volatility price processes is also provided where the processes' strict local martingale behavior can be characterized.
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