基于计划行为理论的城市湖泊保护支付意愿预测——以缓解城市热岛效应

Li Zhang, H. Fukuda
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引用次数: 3

摘要

城市热岛效应已成为北京一个严重的环境问题,城市湖泊已被证明是缓解这一现象的有效途径。城市湖泊在缓解城市热岛效应方面具有一定的作用,但这种作用一直被忽视。一个重要的原因是它的经济价值不容易衡量。本文对北京市居民对城市湖泊缓解城市热岛效应的支付意愿进行了实证研究。此外,政府也愿意推动公众参与环境问题。为了探讨居民支付意愿的影响因素,本研究引入环境关注的概念,应用计划行为理论的扩展框架。估计平均支付意愿为每年24.44美元。为了提高被调查者亲环境行为的预测能力,在计划行为理论的原有框架上进行了扩展,加入了环境关注因素。新的成分关系表明,环境关注对被调查者的支付意愿有直接和间接的影响,提高了原预测模型的解释力。研究表明,北京市大部分居民愿意为城市湖泊的保护做出贡献,以缓解城市热岛效应,而环境相关信息的披露对于促进公众参与城市环境管理是必要的。
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An Extension of the Theory of Planned Behaviour to Predict Willingness to Pay for the Conservation of Urban Lakes for Mitigating the Urban Heat Island Effect
Urban heat island effect has become a serious environmental problem of Beijing and urban lakes are proved to be effective in mitigating this phenomenon. Urban lakes are proved to be effective in mitigating urban heat island effect, while this effect has long been overlooked. One important reason is that its economic value cannot be easily measured. This paper empirically investigates the Beijing residents' willingness of pay for the benefit of urban lakes in mitigating the urban heat island effects. In addition, the government also willing to promote public participation in environmental issues. To explore the influencing factors of residents' willingness to pay, this study applied an extended framework of the theory of planned behavior by introducing the concept of environmental concern. The estimated mean willingness to pay was 24.44 US dollars per year. In order to improve the prediction power of respondents' pro-environmental behavior, the original framework of the Theory of Planned behavior were extended by adding the factor of environmental concern. The new relation of components show that environmental concern influence respondents’ willingness to pay both directly and indirectly, and the explanatory power of the original prediction model is improved. This research reveal that a majority of residents in Beijing are willing to contribute for the conservation of urban lakes for mitigating urban heat island effect, while environment related information disclosure is necessary for promoting public participation in urban environment management.
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