解读国家脆弱性:近期趋势与发展(2015-2019)

D. Vilkova
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摘要

本文重点介绍了2015年至2019年期间国家脆弱性研究的主要进展。其目标是涵盖该主题研究的主要趋势以及近年来最突出的项目。本文介绍了不同国际机构的主要发现和建议,包括经济合作与发展组织、伦敦政治经济学院-牛津大学国家脆弱性、增长与发展委员会、美国和平研究所脆弱性研究小组和脆弱国家极端主义特别工作组的报告。本文涵盖了研究国家脆弱性的主要方法、最新的学术进展和研究趋势。其中之一就是在一套经合组织脆弱性国家报告中普及韧性的概念。在国家脆弱性委员会报告的基础上,分析了脆弱性陷阱和将国家脆弱性视为具有一系列症状的综合症。美国机构的态度也被考虑在内。本文讨论了对极端主义和脆弱国家的预防措施以及不同机构与国际伙伴共同采取的步骤。脆弱性研究小组、脆弱国家极端主义问题工作队和《全球脆弱性法》被分析为相互关联的,是实施s框架的同一理论和政治战略的一部分。文章承认不同研究小组工作的连续性,最终形成了《全球脆弱性法案》。强调有必要重新考虑以前处理国家脆弱性根源的方法。在脆弱国家和受冲突影响地区进行协调预防的重要性被视为对国际安全至关重要。文章还追溯了最近对国家职能主要差距的态度调整,以及对国家脆弱的根源和解决问题的方法以及新出现的安全、政治和经济威胁的看法。
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Decoding state fragility : Recent trends and developments (2015–2019)
: The article highlights the main developments in the study of state fragility in the period between 2015 and 2019. The goal is to cover the main trends in the study of the subject as well as the most prominent projects of recent years. The article presents the main findings and recommendations of different international agencies, including the reports by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, LSE-Oxford Commission on State Fragility, Growth and Development, United States Institute for Peace Fragility Study Group and the Task Force on Extremism in Fragile States. The article covers the main approaches to state fragility, recent academic novelties and trends in the field. Among these is popularizing the notion of resilience in a set of OECD States of Fragility reports. The fragility trap and regarding state fragility as a syn-drome with a set of symptoms is analyzed on the basis of the Commission on State Fragility report. The US agencies’ attitude is also taken into account. The preventive approach towards extremism and fragile states as well as the steps to be taken by different agencies together with international partners are covered in this article. Fragility Study Group, the Task Force on Extremism in Fragile States, and Global Fragility Act are analyzed as interconnected and a part of the same doctrine and political strategy towards the four-S framework implementation. The article acknowledges the continuity in the work of different research groups that culminated in the Global Fragility Act. The need to reconsider previous approaches to the root causes of state fragility is emphasized. The importance of coordinated prevention in fragile states and conflict-affected areas is seen as criti-cal for international security. The article also traces recent adjustments in the attitude toward the main gaps in state functions and the views on the root causes of state fragility and ways to combat the issue and the emerging security, political and economic threats.
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