使用经验和一般数据的决策准则

E. Collins, E. Dougherty, J. Fragola
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引用次数: 1

摘要

设备维护和维修记录中记录的操作经验,为可靠性和风险分析量化提供了直接适用的设备可靠性数据来源。然而,这种经验可能没有足够的广度和深度来满足模具分析的数据需求。因此,即使是最好的直接基于经验的数据集也应该辅以一般信息,如果只是为了与其他设置、环境或行业中的类似设备经验进行比较。通用数据的使用涉及到将模具通用组件类型和应用程序与设施设备类型和环境相匹配的一些解决方案,特别是如果所讨论的设施相当独特。然而,最重要的是,为了满足风险和可靠性研究的参数需求,通常需要结合工厂特定数据和通用数据。虽然在决定哪些数据最适合使用的过程中不能完全排除判断,但根据经验,有一些因素需要考虑,这些因素可以构成一套准则。因此,本文为一般数据和特定设施数据之间的比较以及选择哪种数据或组合最能满足研究数据需求提供了这样的指导。
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Decision-making guidelines for the use of experience and generic data
Operating experience, as captured in maintenance and repair records of a facility, provides a directly applicable source of equipment reliability data for reliability and risk analysis quantification. However, this experience may not have sufficient breadth or depth to meet the data needs of die analysis. Therefore, even the best direct experience-based data set should be complemented by generic information, if only to provide a comparison with similar equipment experience in other settings, environments or industries. Generic data use involves some cure in matching die generic component types and applications to the facility equipment types and environments, particularly if the facility in question is rather unique. The bottom line, however, is that most often a combination of plant-specific and generic data are required to fulfil a risk and reliability study parametric needs. While judgment cannot be removed altogether from the process of deciding which data is most appropriate to use, based on experience there are factors to consider which can be structured into a set of guidelines. This paper therefore provides such guidance for the comparison between generic and facility-specific data and for the selection of which data or combination best meets the study data needs.
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